I don't think AA went into the off-season with the plan to get below the 1st CBT threshold, but that may be what ends up happening. He went out of his way back in November to move salary (not CBT hit, but salary) out of 2025 into 2026. He picked up Reynaldo Lopez's 2027 team option 2 years before he needed to in exchange for Lopez moving 2025 salary into 2026, and he picked up Aaron's Bummer's 2025 and 2026 team options in exchange for Bummer reducing his 2025 salary from $7.25M to $3.5M and agreeing to a $9.5M salary in 2026. Neither of those moves helped the CBT at all, but they did move a total of $7M from 2025 to 2026. And, as THWG pointed out, they are sitting $24M below the 1st threshold right now, plenty of room to make a decent pickup and still leave in-season wiggle room to stay below the 1st threshold. Either there is a payroll crunch for 2025 that hasn't been publicized (I doubt this is the explanation), or my belief is that AA had someone(s) targeted back in November, but he was unable to close out those deals.