You're not going to be comfortable in those situations when they almost never happen. Also, I am very reluctant to believe anything that is based on "you can just see it" after some of the things I've read on these forums. People get a thought in their mind and then just see what they need to reinforce it.
The pass to kyle was still there in a very dangerous throwing the ball right to the front of your opponents basket way. So no, it really wasn't there. You take a 5 second before you throw that pass. Bubba did have the whole front court, but he wasn't sealed and wasn't even trying to seal. He came up, paused to set his defender up for a move to try and get behind the defense (in relation to Usher) about where he ended up when Jose saved the pass. At best, a pass to the front court is foot race and likely it would have just been a turnover with Bubba doing a move to get open in the back court.
There was nothing really wrong with the play design. The motion was designed to either get Devoe the ball in the center, or if that was taken away, and assuming they stopped the most direct motion from Kyle, it flattened out the defense to give space for a pass to Jose long. Even Bubba's motion was designed to give Jose an immediate pass up the sideline as you saw him start to curl up court before realizing that the pass went long and going to get the ball. That's why you can't look at a still frame and draw conclusions. The issue is, for whatever reason (maybe related to his injury) Jose didn't really set up his defender at all. If he goes hard about two more steps then there is an easy entry pass or his defender takes it away and the defense is super flat for the lob to the other side. But he just sort of went and sat at the elbow which allowed his defender to not really have to commit to taking the direct entry so it made the play to throw it over harder.
The way Usher threw it also made it pretty much either Jose could get it or it'd go out of bounds which is what you have to do. Even if you get more air, you still throw it a bit long for the same reason.
fair point about the play design. i should have been clearer to not question the particulars, but question the overall approach. on a EOG SLOB vs m2m deny press, if there is a defender on the inbounder (as opposed to playing off to double/deny), i'd prefer a simplified approach... clear out the back court and post up for a lob to space if denied/fronted, or a bounce pass to space if trailed or three-quartered.
before the desperation of the final second, bubba was ballside on the midcourt line with his defender in full deny, he had the entire front court sealed off and all 10 players in the backcourt, later when play brokedown he cut middle toward jose. the potential pass to kyle was in front of the basket? it would have been toward the near sideline/corner, not near the basket or lane like jose. jose was directly in front of their basket at the FT line. the pass was right to the FT line of their basket. agree with you that, at that point, the lob pass to the far side was called for given jose's positioning, that was part of my OP.
i agree about fans getting hung up on a particular thought, and then seeking out confirmation bias. in this case/example, i guess we just disagree. it jumped off the screen to me earlier in the season long before dook, even when we did not experience meltdowns or near meltdowns like dook and miami. even when it did not result in a TO, it was harder than it needed to be to inbound vs deny. so once i saw it in limited sample size, i watched for it over time to see if it was a one-off or if it's consistently there. i watched for it even when were not melting. imo, its consistent, even when it does not manifest itself in TOs or EOG meltdowns. your analysis of our guards not helping the inbounder with consistent execution (screens, cuts, seals, posts) i agree with.
if i'm wrong with my observations of ush as the inbounder, i still disagree with pastner doing the following: having ush play that spot most of the year (a few exceptions) including the dook game last week that mimicked tonights situation, and then tonight from the ~3 min mark all the way until the final 30 seconds not having ush play that spot (not even once), and then over the course of the final ~3 mins juggling 4 different players as inbounders.
EOG vs m2m deny press with lead, i'd prefer 3-guard lineup. mike jose kyle/bubba ush moses. mike inbounding and trailing for reversals. if we are concerned about defense/rebounding with small lead, and therefore dont want smaller 3-guard lineup, i'd prefer khalid inbound.
i guess we just disagree. either way, its fun to compare notes and viewpoints. especially fun to do so after a win that moves us into the semis (as opposed to an ugly loss caused by an EOG meltdown).