ACC Bowl Discussion

Richard7125

Jolly Good Fellow
Messages
479
Okay, the data is a little weird. They have Ole Miss and Missouri listed as "middle" for their comparisons in 2024. How many people would actually say Ole Miss this year wasn't one of the SEC's top teams? They were in the Top20 all year long. They also have Vandy as "bottom," which I would not consider them to be this year (they are most years).
The Final AP rankings had Ole Miss at #16 and Missouri at #23 behind these other 5 SEC schools (Texas, UGA, Tenn, Bama, and USCe). 6th and 7th in a 16 team conference is Middle. This just illustrates the depth of the SEC where the 6th and 7th ranked team in a 16 team conference are perceived as Top teams.

Again, feel free to remove the data you don't like.
 

stinger78

Helluva Engineer
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5,164
The Final AP rankings had Ole Miss at #16 and Missouri at #23 behind these other 5 SEC schools (Texas, UGA, Tenn, Bama, and USCe). 6th and 7th in a 16 team conference is Middle. This just illustrates the depth of the SEC where the 6th and 7th ranked team in a 16 team conference are perceived as Top teams.

Again, feel free to remove the data you don't like.
UT got waxed by OSU, and USCe got beat by Illinois. Were they perhaps over ranked? The approach to ranking is itself full of bias.
 

Northeast Stinger

Helluva Engineer
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11,324
UT got waxed by OSU, and USCe got beat by Illinois. Were they perhaps over ranked? The approach to ranking is itself full of bias.
Yeah, thought it odd that he considered rankings as objective data. After you get past the number 6 team in the rankings it becomes so subjective as to represent little more than a beauty pageant.
 

Richard7125

Jolly Good Fellow
Messages
479
UT got waxed by OSU, and USCe got beat by Illinois. Were they perhaps over ranked? The approach to ranking is itself full of bias.
I was simply pointing out why they had Ole Miss and Missouri as a “Middle” category in the SEC this past year. If you want to move Tennessee and USCe into the “middle third” and move Ole Miss and Mizzou into the Top third, I’m fine with that. It just makes the ACC look worse by having a "middle" SEC team (USCe) beating a Top ACC team (Clemson).

The "Top" "middle and "Bottom" categories are the teams' relative position in their own conference in a specific year.
 
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stinger78

Helluva Engineer
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5,164
I was simply pointing out why they had Ole Miss and Missouri as a “Middle” category in the SEC this past year. If you want to move Tennessee and USCe into the “middle third” and move Ole Miss and Mizzou into the Top third, I’m fine with that. It just makes the ACC look worse by having a "middle" SEC team beat a Top ACC team.
Again… the SEC has 1-2 more top teams than any other conference in a typical year. Your buckets are going to be equal size.

This is where they excel. They have more programs capable of producing top teams.
SEC (10): Bama, UGA, LSU, UF, UT, TAMU, AU, Miss, and now UTA and OU. That’s a lot of programs! There are 4-5 that predominate.

ACC (8): Clem, F$U, VPI, Miami, GT, Lville, Pitt, BC. There are 3-4 that predominate.
 

gtbeak

Ramblin' Wreck
Messages
551
I was simply pointing out why they had Ole Miss and Missouri as a “Middle” category in the SEC this past year. If you want to move Tennessee and USCe into the “middle third” and move Ole Miss and Mizzou into the Top third, I’m fine with that. It just makes the ACC look worse by having a "middle" SEC team (USCe) beating a Top ACC team (Clemson).

The "Top" "middle and "Bottom" categories are the teams' relative position in their own conference.
South Carolina and Alabama already are in the "middle" per this website. They don't have to be moved there. I see what the website does, they don't want to distinguish between teams with an equal conference record, and the SEC had a bunch of teams at 5-3, so they had to put all of those 5-3 teams in the middle. What is odd to me is that they put the 4-4 Florida team in the "bottom" for no apparent reason. As I've already pointed out, they have 10 of the 18 Big 10 teams in the "bottom" tier, when obviously you can't have over 50% of your sample be the bottom. It isn't a bias on their part, in 2022 they had 9 of the 14 ACC schools listed as "bottom", but it is an issue that needs to be corrected if they want their data to be taken seriously.
 

Richard7125

Jolly Good Fellow
Messages
479
South Carolina and Alabama already are in the "middle" per this website. They don't have to be moved there. I see what the website does, they don't want to distinguish between teams with an equal conference record, and the SEC had a bunch of teams at 5-3, so they had to put all of those 5-3 teams in the middle. What is odd to me is that they put the 4-4 Florida team in the "bottom" for no apparent reason. As I've already pointed out, they have 10 of the 18 Big 10 teams in the "bottom" tier, when obviously you can't have over 50% of your sample be the bottom. It isn't a bias on their part, in 2022 they had 9 of the 14 ACC schools listed as "bottom", but it is an issue that needs to be corrected if they want their data to be taken seriously.
I’m not using this type of data to fly to the moon, but I think it suggests a lot more than some want to admit.
 

Richard7125

Jolly Good Fellow
Messages
479
Again… the SEC has 1-2 more top teams than any other conference in a typical year. Your buckets are going to be equal size.

This is where they excel. They have more programs capable of producing top teams.
SEC (10): Bama, UGA, LSU, UF, UT, TAMU, AU, Miss, and now UTA and OU. That’s a lot of programs! There are 4-5 that predominate.

ACC (8): Clem, F$U, VPI, Miami, GT, Lville, Pitt, BC. There are 3-4 that predominate.
I'm not sure what you are saying. It looks like you are equating the top 8 teams from the SEC with the top 8 teams from the ACC. I don't think the won-loss data over the past 27 years would be so lopsided if this were true. Keep in mind Texas/Oklahoma only account for 1 game of the 241 played.

SEC Top vs ACC Top: 21-12
SEC Middle vs ACC Middle: 14-6
SEC Bottom vs ACC Bottom: 18-14

SEC Top vs ACC Middle: 20-5
ACC Top vs SEC Middle: 18-14

SEC Top vs ACC Bottom: 16-0
ACC Top vs SEC Bottom: 17-5
Total Games: 241
 

gtbeak

Ramblin' Wreck
Messages
551
I’m not using this type of data to fly to the moon, but I think it suggests a lot more than some want to admit.
Understand. I just like to understand data before accepting it, and if I see obvious issues with the data it grates on me similar to someone running their fingers across a chalkboard. I guess I was also disappointed by this website more than normal because I have been wanting to do something similar to what they purport to do (break down conferences by tiers and compare results between those tiers), but I haven't had the time to do so. I found this website even before it was posted here and was very excited until I realized their tiers are flawed. Like I said, I don't think it is a bias on their part, and the overall takeaway may not change, but their tiers need some work, IMO.
 

forensicbuzz

21st Century Throwback Dad
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9,201
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North Shore, Chicago
The Final AP rankings had Ole Miss at #16 and Missouri at #23 behind these other 5 SEC schools (Texas, UGA, Tenn, Bama, and USCe). 6th and 7th in a 16 team conference is Middle. This just illustrates the depth of the SEC where the 6th and 7th ranked team in a 16 team conference are perceived as Top teams.

Again, feel free to remove the data you don't like.
No one has ever said the SEC wasn't a strong conference. It's just that they're not so head-and-shoulders above everyone else like they tout. Note the two SEC teams crying the hardest about being left out of the CFP (with Kiffin) lost. Alabama and South Carolina...did they show they were fallible or that they just didn't want to be there. They lost to a middling Michigan team and Illinois, a perennial B1G bottomfeeder. Let's see how Ole Miss performs.

If Texas and uga both lose today, and Ole Miss loses to Duke tomorrow, what is that going to say. Makes the games at least interesting to follow, if not actually watch.
 

forensicbuzz

21st Century Throwback Dad
Messages
9,201
Location
North Shore, Chicago
I was simply pointing out why they had Ole Miss and Missouri as a “Middle” category in the SEC this past year. If you want to move Tennessee and USCe into the “middle third” and move Ole Miss and Mizzou into the Top third, I’m fine with that. It just makes the ACC look worse by having a "middle" SEC team (USCe) beating a Top ACC team (Clemson).

The "Top" "middle and "Bottom" categories are the teams' relative position in their own conference in a specific year.
I think what the data is showing (how teams were tiered) is that within conferences, there is a good bit of parity. There are obvious top top teams and bottom bottom teams, but the 90% in the middle are pretty close. Same thing has been true for the ACC and the SEC.
 

Root4GT

Helluva Engineer
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3,504
No one has ever said the SEC wasn't a strong conference. It's just that they're not so head-and-shoulders above everyone else like they tout. Note the two SEC teams crying the hardest about being left out of the CFP (with Kiffin) lost. Alabama and South Carolina...did they show they were fallible or that they just didn't want to be there. They lost to a middling Michigan team and Illinois, a perennial B1G bottomfeeder. Let's see how Ole Miss performs.

If Texas and uga both lose today, and Ole Miss loses to Duke tomorrow, what is that going to say. Makes the games at least interesting to follow, if not actually watch.
Texas is not going to lose today.
 

Northeast Stinger

Helluva Engineer
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11,324
Texas is not going to lose today.
Wish someone would explain to me how Texas, for the most part, plays way over their heads against weaker opponents and then play like rank amateurs against quality opponents like uga.

Already today I’ve seen them make some pin point throws on plays that were perfectly defended, as well as showing some excellent run blocking on other plays, two things they failed at miserably against uga. And don’t say it’s just because uga is a better team because Tech was making plays all day against uga that Texas just couldn’t pull off.

But I bet they play like world beaters today against Arizona State. Losers.
 

Northeast Stinger

Helluva Engineer
Messages
11,324
You are correct. God please let Texas lose
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Everyone took a screenshot of this right?
 
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