I don't follow recruiting very often, but those numbers cited for 2021 are depressing, and my question is: is Collins regressing to the mean, and should this be what we expect going forward, or did he have a ton of commitments veer off at the last moment? I do not recall Collins has/had a reputation for player development. This just doesn't look good for us.
TL;DR: with a combination of the high school recruits and the transfers, this looks like a good class. We didn’t scare Miami or Clemson. I heard good feedback from the recruitniks who saw the players.
In conference, Clemson, then Miami and UNC are in a top tier. Looking at the other teams in conference, we probably did better than a lot of the ones “ahead” of us, all things considered.
Collins does have a reputation for getting players to the NFL—especially DBs. That would seem to be a “player development” reputation. He doesn’t have a reputation for X’s and O’s on offense, but he does on defense.
It looks a lot more like the Transfer Portal was full of young and highly rated players, and Collins went that route. There’s debate about how much credit to give for getting transfers who have up to 4 years of eligibility.
I’d say to estimate it in the middle somewhere—better for building our team next year than a 45-ish class ranking purely based on the high school numbers, but not a top-20 class. I’m not going to debate how far in the middle one way or the other it goes.
In the class, we got a QB we wanted, several really good WR recruits, multiple good (or better) DE/DL recruits, a linebacker we really wanted, and some really good OL recruits, a TE we wanted, a possible replacement for Harvin, and talent at the safety position.
This seemed to be an unusual year in the transfer portal, and we picked up several players who could be game changers for us at DB, OL, and DE/DL. We got a transfer at LB that was an honorable mention All-Big 10.
Some positions of need were addressed. If you’d added a big NG prospect and a fast middle linebacker-type to what we had, I’d have been happy with it.
We also have Cochran playing this 2021 season. There’s a shot at having a good OL.