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  1. GT (+7) vs. Miss St.

    I guess were both wrong. Me with it being far and away the most bowl teams and you with ACC having the same number of bowl bids. ACC actually has 11. But with the ACC, you really see the strain as only 4/11 teams are favored. The fact that the SEC is still favored to win their bowl games even...
  2. GT (+7) vs. Miss St.

    I was just doing it by betting market power rankings for where the teams are right now: http://stats.inpredictable.com/rankings/ncaaf.php
  3. SEC Dominance?

    SEC East was much better than given credit for. They were the 3rd best division in football this year according to Sagarin. They just had a hard time maintaining decent records since they played twice as many Top 30 teams OOC as any other division, and also had far and away the toughest...
  4. GT (+7) vs. Miss St.

    Just because I'm bored, thought I'd look over this claim: ACC Coastal: 3 games vs. Top 30, overall non-conference record of 20-10 ACC Atlantic: 3 games vs. Top 30, overall non=conference record of 22-6 Big Ten West: 3 games vs. Top 30, overall non-conference record of 20-8 Big Ten East: 3...
  5. GT (+7) vs. Miss St.

    They didn't lose half of their games. They went 5-4 in conference and only lost to one team all year outside the Top 15. As mmbt0ne pointed out, Auburn controlled the game and deserved to win. On the road against a Top 15 team. Acting like this is anything but a big feather in the cap for a...
  6. SEC Dominance?

    The college football betting market is very sharp and efficient, don't let anyone tell you otherwise. You're not gonna be beating it with strategies as simple as "pick against the bigger alumni base" or "bet against the SEC all the time because the media says they're way weaker than the betting...
  7. SEC Dominance?

    It's funny how the betting market (group of experts looking at things as objectively as possible with millions of dollars on the line) and Sagarin (objective computer ranking deriving numbers solely from the scores of the games) both rate the SEC much, much higher than ESPN who's supposedly...
  8. College Playoff Rankings

    TCU should at least get credit for a tie against Baylor. They have a 50/50 PI call go against them that would have turned the game on their last drive, and then they get called for PI on 3rd and long when there's no contact whatsoever. They 100% win that game if it's at a neutral site.
  9. GT (+7) vs. Miss St.

    SEC West has been grossly underrated. People act like it's similar to other divisions, when it's actually the best division in the history of football. Didn't lose a game all season long except to Missouri and Georgia and Missouri didn't beat any of their Top 5 teams. I'd take Mississippi State...
  10. GT (+7) vs. Miss St.

    I think 7's a little high, but Mississippi State's definitely a really, really good team. Either the best or the second best we've faced this year. We definitely deserve to be the underdog and a win over them would be very impressive. I liked our chances a lot better against Michigan State for sure.
  11. One of my long held offensive thoughts in question now

    Honestly, I felt like CPJ got really over-confident with the running game after how well it performed in the first half, and the lack of willingness to throw on 1st and 2nd down in the 2nd half cost us the game. It's a small mistake, and he's still obviously Top 10% of coaches nation-wide, but...
  12. Orange Bowl

    I like our chances against Michigan State too. More in a "53% to win" type way, then a "we'll handle them without any trouble" type way, but I still like our chances.
  13. Orange Bowl

    Wait, I was wrong about Ohio State. Apparently the Orange Bowl, only has the choice of the #2 SEC or #2 Big Ten team, but not the champion. Here's the relevant rule: If the Big Ten or SEC champion is available for a non-playoff bowl in a year when the Rose and Sugar Bowls are hosting...
  14. Orange Bowl

    Current sportsbook lines on the chances of different teams qualifying for the last 2 spots: Florida State: -45000 Ohio State: -210 TCU: +150 Baylor: +800 When you take out the juice, that gives the following probabilities: Florida State: 100% Ohio State: 57% TCU: 34% Baylor: 9% I think the...
  15. Orange Bowl

    Yeah, people are projecting Michigan State on the assumption of Ohio State making the playoff, but I really don't see it. The committee said there was a "big gap" between 4 and 5 last week, and with #3 TCU winning by 50 and #4 Florida State remaining undefeated, I don't see how Ohio State could...
  16. Simple, easy to understand playoff scenarios going into the night games

    Alabama: In Oregon: In TCU: In Then there are 5 teams competing for the 4th and final spot in the playoff. -If Florida State wins, they're in. -If Florida State loses and Ohio State wins, Ohio State is in. -If Florida State and Ohio State lose and Baylor wins, Baylor is in. -If Florida State...
  17. Tech making the playoff? Easy as 1-2-3 (plus 4-5-6)

    That's not quite right. We want Alabama to beat Missouri. Much better chance the SEC gets 2 teams than 0 if Missouri wins and we get enough help to have a decent chance. Games we have to have: Georgia Tech over Florida State Wisconsin over Ohio State Games we have to get at least 1 out of 2...
  18. Next domino in line: Arizona

    Public perception doesn't have a lot to do with it. Pretty much every computer ranking has: 1. SEC 2. PAC 3. Big XII based on their results on the field. If the ACC wants more respect, Pitt needs to beat Akron, North Carolina needs to hold ECU to less than 70 points, and Wake Forest needs to...
  19. Next domino in line: Arizona

    Well, looks like we can write off Arizona! One more game down on the path to the playoff!
  20. Next domino in line: Arizona

    Wisconsin winning wouldn't even be an upset. They're a 4 point favorite thanks to the Barrett injury. We actually only need one upset to get in (other than our own game of course).
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