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My post is simply to say that blaming everything on China failing to keep the virus within its borders is misguided. Even if they had acted quickly (which they did not), it still would have gotten outside their borders before they could have shut down. I'm not defending the fact that they have...

This is something that US intelligence has been reporting for some time. It was well known that China was greatly underreporting their numbers. Been following this for months. Just based on the number of coffins that were being delivered to Wuhan it was likely at least 40K died in Wuhan and...

to an extent yes. The CDC has a huge lag in terms of their reporting. But they have been upfront about it from the beginning. GA only started to respond to it and provide the footnotes when they were called out on it. From an analysis standpoint you get a much better picture based on taking the...

Without testing there won't be games, it is really that simple - so universities will spend to have it. it is likely every player will have to be tested before every game. Since you can spread it without having symptoms you acutally do not know if you are sick in many cases. And despite what...

I agree. it sounds like if one player tests positive they are largely going to keep going. But if that leads to an outbreak, then I think it would be hard to continue. They actually talk about that some in the article. What happens if a player for team B tests positive and team A decides they...

Here is a great article from SI talking to all the FBS conference commissioners about what they are dealing with. My takeaway is that they are doing everything possible to have a season, to have it in the fall and to start as close to on time as possible, but that almost everything is still on...

Your comments are true. Data scientists have been very frustrated with how GA is reporting data and constantly changing definitions. FWIW, as I showed in an earlier message deaths haven't really declined. They are stable, which is a start. This footnote to the graph Travis tweeted shows why it...

One other topic I wanted to talk about is whether China could have prevented the outbreak from spreading internationally. The simple answer to this imo is no based on the data we have and what we now know. While China deserves blame for underplaying the severity and not acting fast enough -...

I'll try to find the article I read on this. It had a good discussion on what you are discussing and why it points to a natural source. Basically it comes down to anything down in a labratory is never done randomly. There is actually too many gene sequences to deal with to do it randomly. if you...

FWIW, here is what is happening in GA. Best news is the positive case % is on a nice consistent downward trend. on the flip side it is still almost twice the national average. Cases I don't pay as much attention to as they are heavily influenced by test rates - so the fact it is largely flat...

FWIW, i think these tweets by Nate Silver sum up the situation in the US quite well. I'm expecting we will likely see largely flat to small declines all summer into the fall. Then it is likely to start to spike up some in the fall as people spend more time indoors and closer to each other...

FWIW, here is a good article talking about a new Univ of Chicago study looking at people making more money on unemployment than if they worked. This is one issue that will have to be fixed when they work on the next version...

I'm impressed you think I have a left/liberal agenda, probably would be surprised by my voting record. I also would never say I am unbiased, everybody has biases. But given my discussions on other boards there are some who think I am anything but liberal. On boards that have a more conservative...

I try to spend about 50% of my time on COVID news talking to people from other countries (I am on another board that is heavily represented with people from around the world) and looking at news articles from outside the US. Since the US is behind most other countries with this it gives some...

I think that statement largely tracks with what else we have seen in the last week. The biggest issue is simple, the budgets are so wrecked if there is no football that they are going to try everything possible to play. The biggest key is likely to be that there is no big spike in the late...

I wanted to talk separately about Sweden. Especially since i'm 25% Swedish. There is alot of misinformation over what they have and haven't done and their results. The most important thing to understand is they had orders, but not all of them were mandatory orders. First off, they did not just...

Been so busy last week+ haven't been around much (helping daughter and son-in-law in trying to purchase a house). I can't recommend Nate Silver's Twitter feed enough. He does a great job of providing COVID related statistical data and calling out both the left-wing and right-wing spin. The...

I think the only thing that is safe to say is that it won't start on time all over the country. The SE is going to do everything it can to start on time, that is obvious. The good news is that in the last week we finally have legitimate good data news. positive case rates and deaths are both...

Interesting article on whether older coaches should sit out coaching this year. https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/will-coronavirus-threat-sideline-older-coaches-like-mike-krzyzewski-roy-williams-jim-boeheim/ I've heard a number of colleges are looking at not having Professors...

I fully expect AA's to take losses, regardless of whether football is played or not, just a matter of how big of loss. i also expect that TV deals may have to be renegotiated downward - especially if there is not a full season. Disney is taking a huge hit worldwide in its business, it may simply...