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This is how it is done for all deaths by disease. It's also why we have co-morbidity. More than one reason can be given for a death, there doesn't have to be just one cause. The flu numbers for instance are modeled and the first release occurs one year after a season with a final estimate 2...

Not until the NCAA voted to allow it. As long as the NCAA had a moratorium on SA's on campus then it didn't matter what any state of college wanted to do. Now it is up to individual statesand systems to decide.

Article on tOSU AD Gene Smith talking about a model where they might be able to have 20-22K at their stadium for games (it holds 102K). https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/ohio-state-conceptualizing-models-to-let-20000-fans-attend-football-games-ad-gene-smith-says/ Looking at most...

Deaths aren't even remotely overcounted. If you would like a very long and in-depth article on how deaths (not just COVID deaths) are counted in the US. This is really good reading. understand that a death isn't necessarily due to 1 thing, and that unwrapping it all is a very time consuming...

First, there is no bio-weapons lab in Wuhan. That is completely false. Second, there have been outside scientists/doctors in China since January. Once the virus has expanded outside China, whether they destroyed evidence (I have no knowlege of that), it wouldn't matter. At that point scientists...

The Rolling Stones concert in July that was part of their tour has also been postponed. I believe in the past the GT AA has made abour $250K off one of these shows. I don't expect to see any large scale concerts or festivals this year. Just too much risk for organizers in putting that many...

The NY Governor said today he would like to see professional sports back in NY again. He said it would be without fans though.

As has been posted before, herd immunity has never been acheived in the modern age without a vaccination program. We could definitely go that route, but the deaths would likely be in the 3M+ range for the US (there are models out there for this) and unfortunately we would break down both our...

One piece of good news from this weekend. New Study out of Harvard suggests that heat could have up to a 25% reduction in transmission rates. That is good news for the next few months, though they also had this piece of information from the study "There is an impact from weather conditions...

Nat Silver on underccounting vs overcounting. FWIW Nate has a nice tweet thread from yesterday about three areas where he thinks the media has done a poor job in reporting (which includes being too opinionated and not doing a good job of explaining the nuance and noise in the data).

Your creating a chain here that so far as no evidence to support it. There can certainly be human errors in labs. I'd never deny that. But it is different from saying a containment error could happen to saying that is the cause of the current pandemic. Scientists worldwide have been able to...