Win Total Predictions

[bobongo]

So....

I'm sticking to my eight win prediction.

 

[Thwg777]

So....

Who knows… judging by trends at Clemson is the only gimme lol

 

[cpf2001]

Who knows… judging by trends at Clemson is the only gimme lol

I’m worried Clemson might not be ranked when we play them though!

 

[forensicbuzz]

11-3

 

[JacketOff]

We should beat BC and UVA. Syracuse will be a toss up, and we’ll be underdogs but wouldn’t be surprised if we put up good fights against UNC and Clemson. Don’t think we’re gonna break the losing streak at home to UGA, but we’ll give ‘em hell for 60 minutes and make ‘em earn it going into SECCG week.

It’s going to be really disappointing if we finish 5-7 again after blowing the big lead to Louisville and the disaster against BG. We neeeeeeeeed to get to a bowl this year.

 

[Southern psu fan]

I'm sticking to my eight win prediction.

I’m your biggest cheerleader brother!

 

[Northeast Stinger]

I’m going to put on my Captain Obvious cape here. Tech’s margin for error will remain small this year due to personnel deficiencies. That means every game will be its own unique event and have no carry over to any other game. It’s going to be a wild ride.

 

[Southern psu fan]

I’m going to put on my Captain Obvious cape here. Tech’s margin for error will remain small this year due to personnel deficiencies. That means every game will be its own unique event and have no carry over to any other game. It’s going to be a wild ride.

Need to put a LB’r on the QB every play against BC. He can run but not much of a passer from what I saw in the Army game. I might even put 2 LB’s on him just get to the football lol

 

[stinger 1957]

We should beat BC and UVA. Syracuse will be a toss up, and we’ll be underdogs but wouldn’t be surprised if we put up good fights against UNC and Clemson. Don’t think we’re gonna break the losing streak at home to UGA, but we’ll give ‘em hell for 60 minutes and make ‘em earn it going into SECCG week.

It’s going to be really disappointing if we finish 5-7 again after blowing the big lead to Louisville and the disaster against BG. We neeeeeeeeed to get to a bowl this year.

Very dangerous with this team counting any game as a win, we need to put all that sort of talk to bed going fwd IMO.

 

[Thwg777]

As much as I enjoy the math of sports handicapping, I don’t think 1 in a million people could have matched up these six outcomes to our first six games if polled a couple months ago.

The trend is your friend until it isn’t. Our road trends against ranked ACC opponents is crazy. Our home trend when favored is a demon that must be exorcized 10/21. We’ve got to take care of business at home.

Quote of the day, “You can take Georgia Tech out of the Coastal, but you can’t take the Coastal [Chaos] out of Georgia Tech”.

 

[SecretAgentBuzz]

Looking like we will lose to BC, UVa and possibly Syracuse. But, at this point, Clemson, UNC, and UGa are looking like victories. So, yeah, I like our chances at six wins.

 

[MountainBuzzMan]

I am keeping my 7. Wanted to throw this quote I read about Miami coaching

"There are losses. There are bad losses. There are losses that haunt a coach on his deathbed. And then about 100 miles past that is how Miami lost Saturday."

 

[leatherneckjacket]

Looking like we will lose to BC, UVa and possibly Syracuse. But, at this point, Clemson, UNC, and UGa are looking like victories. So, yeah, I like our chances at six wins.

Outside of beating Uga, I would say we could win or lose any of those games and I would not be surprised. Schizophrenia is maddening.

 

[JacketOff]

Very dangerous with this team counting any game as a win, we need to put all that sort of talk to bed going fwd IMO.

That’s why I didn’t count any of our last 6 games as either a W or L

 

[GetYourBuzzOn]

The Miami win gets us back on track with a realistic shot at 6 wins and a bowl game. IF, and this being GT it is a very big IF, we take care of business vs. BC and UVA, the Syracuse game will be the key to getting to 6.

Week 6 SP+ has GT moving from -2.9 to -0.6

28.0 (57) for Offense, 28.3 (75) Defense, and -.3 (105) for Special Teams

Here is what I have after week 6:
Louisville (neutral site) / Loss / 0%
SC State / Win / 100%
@ Ole Miss / Loss / 0%
@ Wake / Win / 100%
Bowling Green / Loss / 0%
@ Miami / Win / 100%
BC / -8.5 / 75.00%
UNC / +14 / 15.43%
@ UVA / -7.5 / 73.05%
@ Clemson / +16.5 / 12.24%
Syracuse / +6 / 33.22%
UGA / +23.5 / 5.10%

Projected Win Total of 5.14 wins.

Monte Carlo sim result with 10000 iterations to get a distribution of wins:

Georgia Tech	ACC	AVERAGE:	5.1325​		# WINS	FREQ	%
		MODE:	5​		0​	0​	0.00%​
		STDEV:	0.94511​		1​	0​	0.00%​
		MIN:	3​		2​	0​	0.00%​
		MAX:	9​		3​	310​	3.10%​
					4​	2145​	21.45%​
					5​	4201​	42.01%​
					6​	2665​	26.65%​
					7​	615​	6.15%​
					8​	61​	0.61%​
					9​	3​	0.03%​
					10​	0​	0.00%​
					11​	0​	0.00%​
					12​	0​	0.00%​

 

[billga99]

i switched to 4 wins after today. UVA or Syracuse but Clemson, UNC and UGA look like sure losses

 

[33jacket]

Vegas. 4.5. Nailed it. Probably 4 wins. Maybe 5; but probably 4. Team is not good. Coach too new to turn a program around. Bad decisions all around

 

[bobongo]

i switched to 4 wins after today. UVA or Syracuse but Clemson, UNC and UGA look like sure losses

Miami looked like a sure loss.

 

[GTflyer0116]

Knowing this team we will split Cuse/UVA and then upset either Clemson or UNC…

 

[bobongo]

Knowing this team we will split Cuse/UVA and then upset either Clemson or UNC…

I wouldn't be one bit surprised. Or we could lose to Syracuse and UVA and beat both UNC and Clemson. This is one weird football team.