The odds don't only take into account how good a team is, but how easy their path to the ACCCG is. Their conference schedules are notably weaker than ours.
Nobody really knows that, though. These are just odds for betting, so I’m skeptical that the supporting analysis is super detailed or accurate just like all of the other preseason info out there. I don’t know what our odds were last year, but I’m certain we were better than expected.
My personal feeling: it all comes down to defense and whether King can reduce the turnovers. I personally believe that our defense will improve solely from the coaching change, moving us from the bottom 25% to around the median. I also think that King is going to do about the same as last year, and we will be similar or slightly better on offense.
I put money on the over for wins (5.5) and for us to cover against FSU (I think we’re going to win). I wouldn’t bet on us to win the ACC, but I’m 100% certain that if we do I won’t care about missing out on the long shot bet.
I like that we get FSU early, with everything going on, the way they ended the season and the new QB I think getting them first sets up well for us.