Lotta Booze
Ramblin' Wreck
- Messages
- 779
Stats models and rankings
- Thread starter slugboy
- Start date
ThatGuy
Helluva Engineer
- Messages
- 1,024
- Location
- Evergreen, CO
Last edited:
- Messages
- 11,724
He didn’t show the margins from what I saw. The turnover point differential is (assuming I added correctly)
UNC +14
FSU +18
Duke +31
VT +7
Louisville +30
Syracuse +19
Miami +11
NCST +3
BC -7
UVA -18
Pitt -16
GT +2
Wake -6
Clemson -22
Root4GT
Helluva Engineer
- Messages
- 3,312
I have always found these numbers to be flawed. If a team throws a deep pass on 3rd down and the opposing team intercepts on their 20 yard line then drive 80 yards for a TD the turnover is not responsible for the points. Bad defense is responsible. Now if a team fumbles on its ten and the opponent kicks a FG the turnover was responsible for the points.
- Messages
- 11,724
You could look at EPA “big plays” instead
stinger78
Helluva Engineer
- Messages
- 4,910
A 40-yard heave on 3rd and long that is intercepted is really just a punt on 3rd down. I would agree to cull those out.
stinger78
Helluva Engineer
- Messages
- 4,910
After yesterday's game @UVA...
GT is #21 in rushing offense - 281 for 1532 (5.5 ypp), with 12 TD, averaging 191.5 ypg.
GT is #40 in passing offense - 159 of 260 (61.2%), with 21 TD against 11 INT, averaging 13.5 ypc and 267.8 ypg.
GT is #42 in scoring offense - averaging 31.8 ppg.
GT is #18 in total offense - averaging 6.8 ypp and 459.2 ypg.
Gentlemen, we have ourselves an offense.
GT is #129 in rushing defense - yielding 5.4 ypr and 256.9 ypg.
GT is #79 in passing yards allowed - yielding 14.1 ypc and 235.6 ypg.
GT is #107 in scoring defense - yielding 31.8 ppg.
GT is #128 in total defense - yielding 6.6 ypp and 468.2 ypg.
Gentlemen, we still have work to do on defense.
After all that, GT is now 5-4 (4-2) and is sole owner of 3rd place in the ACC this week. Two big conference games coming up.
GT is #21 in rushing offense - 281 for 1532 (5.5 ypp), with 12 TD, averaging 191.5 ypg.
GT is #40 in passing offense - 159 of 260 (61.2%), with 21 TD against 11 INT, averaging 13.5 ypc and 267.8 ypg.
GT is #42 in scoring offense - averaging 31.8 ppg.
GT is #18 in total offense - averaging 6.8 ypp and 459.2 ypg.
Gentlemen, we have ourselves an offense.
GT is #129 in rushing defense - yielding 5.4 ypr and 256.9 ypg.
GT is #79 in passing yards allowed - yielding 14.1 ypc and 235.6 ypg.
GT is #107 in scoring defense - yielding 31.8 ppg.
GT is #128 in total defense - yielding 6.6 ypp and 468.2 ypg.
Gentlemen, we still have work to do on defense.
After all that, GT is now 5-4 (4-2) and is sole owner of 3rd place in the ACC this week. Two big conference games coming up.
yeti92
Helluva Engineer
- Messages
- 3,181
I don't think these stats are updated yet - we were yielding 31.75pts/game before yesterday and are now at 30.1
- Messages
- 10,074
- Location
- Williamsburg Virginia
What about ST? We are getting a lot better. Certainly compared to last year where we couldn't even kick EPs.
Anyone know why in the UVa game we had the two short Kick Offs? Ones before and after were TBs.
roadkill
Helluva Engineer
- Messages
- 1,921
Yeah after yesterday's game, our offense looks even better in terms of ranking, which is awesome. Up to 14th in total offense. The defense improved a little but is still near the bottom. I haven't seen special team stats on things like punting and field goals but my gut tells me they are significantly better as well.
roadkill
Helluva Engineer
- Messages
- 1,921
In terms of average, we have gone from 17.2 ppg to 33.2 ppg, an improvement of 16 ppg. Not sure if any team's year-over-year improvement has been better.
roadkill
Helluva Engineer
- Messages
- 1,921
Not to rain on the Offense stat parade, but realistically we should expect some drop-off by end-of-season after we play a couple of top-ranked defenses in Clemson and uga.
Syracuse is average, and that's after factoring in the pre-ACC games that they won easily. We should be able to rack up some points against them.
DFEI hasn't been updated for yesterday's games, but Louisville, Ole Miss, and Miami were well above average, so there's that.
Syracuse is average, and that's after factoring in the pre-ACC games that they won easily. We should be able to rack up some points against them.
DFEI hasn't been updated for yesterday's games, but Louisville, Ole Miss, and Miami were well above average, so there's that.
Jacket05
Ramblin' Wreck
- Messages
- 733
If you add Iowa and Northwestern's total yards together it's less than 60% of the total yards for Washington alone!
stinger78
Helluva Engineer
- Messages
- 4,910
The last time we won a conference game by 28+ points was @Louisville on 10/5/2018. We did beat Dook on 11/28/2020 56-33, a 23-point differential.
Fun facts to know and tell.
Fun facts to know and tell.