Smaller difference in talent than GT and UGA. I would say there's a massive talent difference between GT and UGA. There is a material talent gap between VT and UVA, but they just have a heckfire of a coaching staff in the suburbs of Christiansburg. Here's the thing, Hokie fandom is a relatively new thing. Before Vick, being a hokie fan was like being an ECU fan. You had your diehards, but you never like saw people wearing Hokie gear around. The problem is that UVA has just had SUCH a string of crapsackery since Welsh that we have completely squandered the state.
Groh, who you know all about. What you DON'T know is that Groh's manner and preference for leaning on his NFL roots to recruit NY and NJ heavily REALLY turned off a lot of H.S. coaches in the state, and resulted in a lot of good players going to Tek. He actually won at a decent rate at first, but under him, VT began to feel like the "real" VA state school in football, and recruiting fell apart.
London. Mike London is a fantastic human being. Like, the kind of guy you want to marry your daughter. The man was an AWFUL coach for UVa, though. He won 28% of his ACC games in 6 seasons, and was allowed to hang around for FAR too long.
And then they hire Mendenhall who has this sort of odd manner about him, with NO connections to the area, who brough his WHOLE staff from BYU, meaning that NOBODY knows anybody, and so recruiting has been a bear for him.
We have shot ourselves in the foot for 15 straight years, and that's a whole generation of kids who have never known anything but "VT is almost always tough, and UVA almost always sucks". We've had 2 winning seasons in the last 11 years. That means high school juniors, who we're recruiting now have had 2 uva winning seasons since they were 6 years old.
All that said, I prefer our position to yours, at least in terms of potential. You guys can't hide kids, we can. We have anthropology and a couple of other crib majors where we can recruit, if not blithering idiots, at least kids who aren't interested in working as hard as they possibly can in college (which, if I'm to be honest, describes me at that age
). There's no reason we couldn't recruit at a sub-elite level, like a Penn State, or Michigan State. There is plenty of talent in Virginia, and VT is no UGA. UGA is always going to be the right coach away from a national title. VT is always going to be the wrong coach away from being Wake Forest. Structurally, UVA has a much better position than GT does. You guys just have had much better coaching.