Postseason Chances?

McCamish Maniacs

Helluva Engineer
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Here's my best attempt at predicting this bracket. It looks like there are going to be 46 "at-large" teams (including Middle Tennessee, Wichita State, and Dayton who should win their conferences). If UNCW, Nevada, Middle Tennessee or UT Arlington lose their conference tournaments, they would have an argument for an at large bid as well. As of this moment, I see 37 teams that are "locks" meaning barring monumental collapses, they're in. I see another 14 teams fighting for the last 9 spots. Would love to hear other peoples opinion on this.

Locks
1 Villanova
2 Kansas
3 North Carolina
4 Gonzaga
5 Oregon
6 Louisville
7 Baylor
8 Kentucky
9 Arizona
10 UCLA
11 Florida
12 Butler
13 Florida State
14 Duke
15 West Virginia
16 Purdue
17 Cincinnati
18 Notre Dame
19 Virginia
20 Minnesota
21 SMU
22 Wisconsin
23 Creighton
24 St. Mary's (CA)
25 Oklahoma State
26 Maryland
27 Iowa State
38 Miami (FLA.)
29 South Carolina
30 Dayton
31 Virginia Tech
32 Arkansas
33 VCU
34 Michigan
35 Northwestern
36 Wichita State
37 Michigan State

Bubble
USC
Xavier
Seton Hall
Marquette
Syracuse
Providence
Kansas State
California
Illinois State
Vanderbilt
Wake Forest
Georgia Tech
Rhode Island
Houston

Barely Alive
Clemson
TCU
Illinois
Tennessee
uga
 

RamblinCharger

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Win the next two and we're 17-13. I think we would need to win 2 still in the ACCT to get in from that point. I don't think it's happening this year. We needed to win that VT game and the NC state game and we'd be in, but we couldn't pull them out. Our OOC really hurt as well because we lost to some crappy teams. I'm proud of this team and I'd love to see them win the NIT. Next year and beyond should be a lot of fun. I hope we have years and years of tournaments ahead of us.
 

Deleted member 2897

Guest
Stop. Putting. Clemson. On. These. Lists. They are 4-12 in the ACC and 14-14 overall. They may not even qualify for the NIT.

As far as Georgia Tech goes, we are 16-13. If we split the final 2 games against Pitt and @ Syracuse, then we're 17-14. Since Wake plays Louisville and @Virginia Tech, hopefully they'll go 0-2 and we'll finish in 10th place. If we tie them in the ACC Standings, they'll take the tiebreaker and we finish #11 with a much more difficult first round game in the ACC Tournament. If we finish #10, then we play last place Boston College first. Then in the second round we'd play someone like Miami. So there would be a reasonable chance of going 2-1 in the ACC Tournament, which would take us to 19-15. Even then, I'd still not put us into the NCAA Tournament. I think we have to either win out the regular season, or if we split, we'd need to win 3 games in the ACC Tournament and finish 20-15.

On the flip side, if we get a good seed in the NIT, we could get some more home games.
 

JDjacket

Ramblin' Wreck
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634
Win the next two and we're 17-13. I think we would need to win 2 still in the ACCT to get in from that point. I don't think it's happening this year. We needed to win that VT game and the NC state game and we'd be in, but we couldn't pull them out. Our OOC really hurt as well because we lost to some crappy teams. I'm proud of this team and I'd love to see them win the NIT. Next year and beyond should be a lot of fun. I hope we have years and years of tournaments ahead of us.

The only crappy team we lost to OOC was Ohio who is in the same RPI range as NC state. What killed us was the teams we played. The majority of our OOC wins were against teams with RPIs of 200+. Southern and NC A&T are 318 & 351. I think its better to lose both games to NC state than win those two. But the OOC scheduling really hurt us.
 

RamblinCharger

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The only crappy team we lost to OOC was Ohio who is in the same RPI range as NC state. What killed us was the teams we played. The majority of our OOC wins were against teams with RPIs of 200+. Southern and NC A&T are 318 & 351. I think its better to lose both games to NC state than win those two. But the OOC scheduling really hurt us.
We lost to UGA, Tenn, Ohio, and Penn state OOC. I think we win at least 2 if not 3 or 4 of those games now, but we lost them, and none of those teams are very good. OOC hurt more than going 8-10 in the ACC is going to hurt. If we win 3 of those games we're 19-10 right now with some very good wins and we would be in.
 

forensicbuzz

21st Century Throwback Dad
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North Shore, Chicago
We lost to UGA, Tenn, Ohio, and Penn state OOC. I think we win at least 2 if not 3 or 4 of those games now, but we lost them, and none of those teams are very good. OOC hurt more than going 8-10 in the ACC is going to hurt. If we win 3 of those games we're 19-10 right now with some very good wins and we would be in.
I think we run all 4 of those teams out of the gym now. Very different team now than at the beginning of the season.
 

ESPNjacket

Helluva Engineer
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The Pitt game is probably a must win for the NIT right now. You can't expect a deep run in the ACCT, although it is possible.

GT is 15-13 now (Tusculum doesn't count for the tournament). We need more wins.
 

jeffgt14

We don't quite suck as much anymore.
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Mt Juliet, TN
We really need to get that 10 seed. Wake has to lose out though. That sets up with BC Tuesday and Miami I believe for Wednesday. That's a little more manageable than NC St and then Duke on Wednesday.
I think we beat Pitt but fall short at Cuse. The 10 seedcould get us 2 more wins. Then it gets interesting again.
I don’t think we’d be playing Duke on Day 2 at all. #10 would play #7 which is currently VT. #11 would play #6 which is currently Miami. If VT pulls out the W against Miami tonight I may actually want the #11 seed in order to play VT. UVA is in play there too but they’ll likely split their final two games. It’s really just a guessing game of who gets which seed between Miami, VT, and UVA. I don’t see Duke losing at home to FSU but maybe it’s possible they drop their final 2 games and are in play there.
 

BigDaddyBuzz

Helluva Engineer
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I don't want any part of Duke in acc. They are a terrible match up for us. Pitt is a must win! Get some rest today boys and get that W Tuesday.
 

RyanS12

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Flint Michigan
I don’t think we’d be playing Duke on Day 2 at all. #10 would play #7 which is currently VT. #11 would play #6 which is currently Miami. If VT pulls out the W against Miami tonight I may actually want the #11 seed in order to play VT. UVA is in play there too but they’ll likely split their final two games. It’s really just a guessing game of who gets which seed between Miami, VT, and UVA. I don’t see Duke losing at home to FSU but maybe it’s possible they drop their final 2 games and are in play there.
You're right on Duke. I miss counted when I was looking st the standings. And I believe they jumped a spot after this weekends games.
 
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