Football Study Hall 130 Team Preview

Discussion in 'Georgia Tech Football' started by slugboy, Jul 13, 2018.

  1. slugboy

    slugboy Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    1,028
  2. smathis30

    smathis30 Ramblin' Wreck

    Messages:
    504
    They do the order from the bottom up from how teams did last year in S&P.

    Next three should Be Pitt, GT and Duke
     
  3. smathis30

    smathis30 Ramblin' Wreck

    Messages:
    504
    So GT should be on Monday as I don't think he's doing them on weekends
     
  4. slugboy

    slugboy Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    1,028
    He just posted Pitt.
    And losing to UVA in Charlottesville last year looks even worse when you look at the UVA preview and analysis of last year's team. Here's hoping that the defense and special teams have a solid improvement this year.
     
    GTdragons and iceeater1969 like this.
  5. TheSilasSonRising

    TheSilasSonRising Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    1,560
    If ones only hope is hope..

    there is no hope.
     
  6. smathis30

    smathis30 Ramblin' Wreck

    Messages:
    504
    Fun fact: in S and P last year (Bills rankings) the offense and defense were ranked within 5 places of each other with both ranked in the 60s. Special teams were bottom 20. Offense needed to Be Better last year with the heavy offensive power the triple option needs to be.
     
  7. slugboy

    slugboy Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    1,028
    I brought up Defense because UVA was awful on offense last year, and we still gave up too many points. But you're right about the offense last year. In 2016, it ranked #44 (better enough to get us to 9-4, with a #22 special teams ranking), and in 2014 offense was #4.
    Offense I'm sure we can turn around.
     
  8. Technut1990

    Technut1990 Ramblin' Wreck

    Messages:
    176
    I’m a little perplexed by the NC review.

    It has Tech as the 53 ranked team with NC looking at a 56% chance of winning while Virginia is ranked 73rd and Syracuse 71, yet they have a slightly better chance at beating NC. Is home field good enough to make up 20 ranking spots ?
     
  9. tmhunter52

    tmhunter52 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    863
    Maybe the writer has an inside scoop on which game Bad Tech will show up...
     
  10. slugboy

    slugboy Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    1,028
    CuseJacket and AE 87 like this.
  11. AE 87

    AE 87 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    11,557
    It's a good write-up. I think he's a little too pessimistic. After showing that Nate Woody had significantly better Def S&P+ at App St then Roof at GT, he predicts no real improvement on Def S&P+ (from #66 in '17 to #65 proj. for '18). He's projecting we go from #61 to #40 in Off S&P+ which is reasonable and would be our best since we were #4 in 2014.

    I really think that our Def will be much better. Our secondary is inexperienced, but as he's said, we've got some decent talent. I think we have some nice balance between talent and experience in our front 7. I will be shocked and disappointed if our Def S&P+ is ranked in the 50's or 60's.

    He didn't really discuss how many OL we RS'd last year. I'm hoping that we'll have greater playable depth. With the number of skill guys coming back, I really expect our O to click. I won't be surprised to see our S&P+ ranking to be in the 20's or better.
     
    Technut1990 likes this.
  12. iceeater1969

    iceeater1969 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    3,638
    I hope the ol coach has a great year. For this to happen he will need injury free year and some great calls by Coach.

    I worry the other teams DC s have ways to camo their defense. They had to do something after 14.
     
  13. a5ehren

    a5ehren Ramblin' Wreck

    Messages:
    286
    S&P+ just looks at returning production and a little fudge for recruiting rank on guys that didn't play much. New schemes are not accounted for, as far as I know.
     
  14. AE 87

    AE 87 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    11,557
    S&P+ is a descriptive stat, reporting how successful a squad has been, so it doesn't make sense to say that it looks at returning production etc. Now, if your point is that that's what Bill Connelly does when projecting the next year's S&P+, well fair enough. Since he talked about the new DC and his Def S&P+ at App St, I think he could've used that info in projecting GT's Def S&P+.

    That he did not do that is a given, but that's why I think his projection is ultimately pessimistic.
     
  15. GTFLETCH

    GTFLETCH Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    1,476
    Paul Johnson’s Georgia Tech is building for the future, but we’ll see if he reaches it

    The Yellow Jackets face a murderous schedule and might need another year for a great young defensive coordinator to figure things out.

    Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
    Head coach: Johnson (76-54, 11th year)

    2017 record and S&P+ ranking: 5-6 (73rd)

    Projected 2018 record and S&P+ ranking: 5-7 (53rd)


    Five key points:

    1. Since winning 11 games in 2014, Tech has played below the ACC average for three straight years.
    2. Johnson just signed his best recruiting class in years and might have nailed his defensive coordinator hire, bringing in former App State DC Nate Woody.
    3. Woody could find some disruptive pieces, but they’ll probably be pretty young. It might take him a year to figure things out.
    4. The offense should have all the health and experience it lacked last season. We’ll find out how good QB TaQuon Marshall is — last year was inconclusive.
    5. The schedule features four likely losses, two likely wins, and six games projected within eight points. A decent year is possible, but a big season will have to wait.
    Link
    https://www.sbnation.com/college-fo...ia-tech-football-2018-preview-schedule-roster
     
    vamosjackets likes this.
  16. MikeJackets1967

    MikeJackets1967 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    9,233
    :vomit::vomit::vomit::vomit::vomit:
     
  17. RyanS12

    RyanS12 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    2,332
    Looking at how percent to win projections, it has us at 4-8.... 1-3 after the Clemson game. I still feel September will make/break the season. I think 4-1 is were we need to be heading into the Louisville game.
     
    GT_05, THWG and GTFLETCH like this.
  18. gtwcf

    gtwcf Ramblin' Wreck

    Messages:
    100
    While I may be putting too much pressure on the D, I think the simplicity of the D will help speed up the curve. Tenuta had the D humming pretty early on coming off of passive Roof Ds.

    And DB experience is a bit of a misnomer, IMO. For the most part, you've either got it or you don't at that position. Experience helps, but if you can't keep up, scheme isn't really going to help you. Now, I do understand there is a bit of a difference between a man CB and a zone CB. We've recruited pretty good in the defensive backfield, so that's a lower worry on D.

    I'm more worried about the NT position. CPJ and CNW didn't give me the warm fuzzy on that position, which is a pretty key facet on what we're going to do on defense.

    On O, the 2nd year is when our QBs have felt comfortable on the pitch historically, outside of JT who seemed to get it from the beginning. Even Jaybo, who had been running it in HS, played pretty similar to Quon last year.
     
  19. MikeJackets1967

    MikeJackets1967 Helluva Engineer

    Messages:
    9,233
    Mark it down GT will win 8-10 games
     
  20. CrackerJacket

    CrackerJacket Ramblin' Wreck

    Messages:
    251
    Connelly is way too reality-based for this board's taste. But I think he's got it just about right. I see us finishing 6-6 this season.
     
    GT14, smathis30 and GTFLETCH like this.

Share This Page