Looking at CDC data for total deaths.
BLUF: you can argue that COVID-19 isn't making much of a difference or you can argue that the data isn't in. I'm in the middle and was surprised that the total deaths hadn't increased more even considering the time lag. Definitely worth following though.
We're going to have to wait for more info, until then,
thank you to all posting on this site as civility has returned.
https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-Death-Counts-for-Coronavirus-Disease-C/hc4f-j6nb
View attachment 8258
But here are the footnotes:
1.
Number of deaths reported in this table are the total number of deaths received and coded as of the date of analysis, and do not represent all deaths that occurred in that period.
2.
Data during this period are incomplete because of the lag in time between when the death occurred and when the death certificate is completed, submitted to NCHS and processed for reporting purposes. This
delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction, age, and cause of death.
4.
Percent of expected deaths is the number of deaths for all causes for this week in 2020 compared to the average number across the same week in 2017–2019. Previous analyses of 2015–2016 provisional data completeness have found that completeness is lower in the first few weeks following the date of death
(duh for uGag readers)