One of my favorite books - I've cited it here several times - is Duncan Watt's Everything is Obvious (Once You Know the Answer). This great book is a pean to the general unpredictably of human institutions. I see the points everyone is making above. I know that NIL and treating scholarship athletes as employees will change a lot about how college sports in general and football in particular will work. But let's look back to 1984. Would anybody then have predicted that Miami would dominate college football like it did under Jimmy Johnson? Some, perhaps, but I sure didn't. Or that the kind of play Da U established would be penalized rather then becoming the standard? That's what I thought at the time, though I strongly disapproved.
There's a lot of inertia in human organizations, inertia that even money can't do much about. Further, people don't always pay attention to financial interests, even when they thing they should. Finally, a lot of what happens in sports like football is a matter os sheer bum luck as much as anything else. I will wait this out and, to be frank, I have no idea at all how it will play out.