There was an interesting guest on the Paul Finebaum Show today who had visited 13-14 teams during their spring games. His assessment? It's the Wild West. No one ... none ... know what to do. The NCAA has had a massive failure of leadership and lacks ANY vision as to what college sports SHOULD be. So they are left responding to this congressional committee meeting or that lawsuit. He added that the NCAA governance model is comprised of university presidents ... none of which have any experience in managing big time sports. The result is the debacle that is unfolding before us.
His assessment? We will eventually end up with a P2 (instead of P5) college program with maybe Clemson and Southern Cal. The rest will drop down into another division. The split is massive and expanding.
It might have been said earlier in one of these threads, but a lot of the incentives for ADs and University Presidents and the NCAA are to wait and change as little as possible until they’re forced to. Every system for compliance is designed around amateurism. If an Athletic Department prematurely moves to a “professional” footing, then the NCAA might crack down on them. If the University Presidents and NCAA move too quickly, they might make concessions that, in retrospect, they might not have been required to make. While it’s easy for us to sit on the sidelines and look at the University Presidents as clueless buffoons, they’re essentially negotiating the future of a multi-billion dollar enterprise with tight ties to their campuses and institutions and alumni giving. They’re trying to keep their opening bids for change as small as possible with as little disruption and damage as possible.
I’m not saying they’re not screwing this up, but I also don’t know who wouldn’t screw this up.
The current fig leaf is that players aren’t getting paid for being athletes, but that’s already wearing thin. I don’t know if the NCAA is doing a good job policing “pay for play”. We’ve already noted some instances where NIL is clearly pay for play, and if the NCAA does nothing in those few cases then they may cede that ground either legally or practically. At some point, someone is going to be able to prove that a player was given NIL assurances by another team before going into the portal. At that point, some players are professional
Then, if the players are professional, but they still have to be student-athletes, do you give them incentive bonuses for going to class and getting good grades? How viable is “going to class and making sufficient progress towards a bachelor’s degree” as a condition of employment?
The NCAA's amateurism policy was hard to defend, and they failed to defend it. Now, a lot that was based on amateurism is unraveling and they don't have anything else to put on. Maybe everything falls apart.