I agree here. We're all disappointed - some more than others. What has caused that disappointment, though, is our expectations. Despite three straight 3-win seasons plus a fourth having scratched and clawed to 5 wins, we largely expected the team to perform consistently at or above average, which requires the O, D, and ST all to perform so consistently. However, for the O to become average to above, requires the OL to perform to perform average to above, the D to perform average to above, requires the DL and LB to perform average to above, and the ST to perform average to above, requires the kick, punt, and coverage teams all to perform average to above consistently.
Please pardon the length of the following...
Here's what that 2022 team lost to attrition/graduation:
- Top passing QB
- Top rushing RB
- Top receiving WR
- Top defensive player - tackles
- Top defensive player - sacks
Other losses to attrition/graduation:
- The number 3 rushing back
- The numbers 2 and 3 receiving WRs
- The numbers 2 and 3 defensive players - tackling
- The numbers 2 and 5 defensive players - sacks
- The number 2 defensive player - passes defended
By position, losses were: QB, RB, 3 WR, 2 DL, 3 LB, and 1 DB. That's a crapton of losses!
In addition, prior to/early in the season, we lost to injury:
- Starting DE - year
- Starting and most experienced OL - most of year
- Top 3 RB - multiple weeks
- Top 3 WR - multiple weeks
We did pretty well in the portal between seasons, more than adequately replacing the QB and WR losses. The RB room is down from last season - probably a bit below average, TBH. The OL room has improved a good bit but still has much room to grow - probably still a bit below average. Yet, we've produced an offense whose performance varies between below average to well above average.
We did not adequately fill the losses on D through the portal. The 2 DL (3 with Sylvain out), 3 LB, and 1 DB losses were not replaced adequately. The DL room is below average. The LB room is well below average. The DB room is a bit below average. They have only on occasion performed near average this season.
The STs, once the K position was fixed, has performed mostly at or above average.
If that assessment is correct, there was no basis to expect consistently average performance from this team. Yet, here we are, hovering around .500.
However, we do not lose that much this year off the depth chart:
We lose a long-time RB and 2 TEs, but there appears to be quality behind them, and a replacement OL.
QB: 0
RB: 1 (Smith)
WR: 0
TE: 2 (Leonard, Benson)
OL: 1 (Scaglione)
We lose more off the D, but the LB are mainly gap-fillers and the DB depth appears to be good.
DL: 0
LB: 3 (Moala, Oliver, White)
DB: 2 (King, Sims)
Given the above, the personnel losses from last season and the new coaches/systems, I think next season is the season I should have been focusing on from the start. Just hold on this season, try to find a way to 6-6, and look for improvement along the way.
I see improvement at QB, WR and OL. Those are all encouraging signs. None have arrived yet but provide great hope for 2024. The D cannot help but improve as some players improve and others emerge.