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A realistic view from the AD. Nice to see!
What about at least showing blitz a few times? At least make em think it could happen...You are absolutely right in that when we blitz " half of the time it costs us", and when we don't blitz more than half the time it costs us. Its the 3rd and 20s that we give up that I can't stand.
Even if we were to concur that your assumption is correct that the odds of a stop go up on a blitz, you're only talking about the odds of a stop on that one play. But when you blitz, the odds of a big play definitely increase. So you're increasing the odds of giving up 7 points on the play. At least if you make them play dink and dunk, you increase the number of plays where your defense has the possibility of causing a fumble, making a stop, or getting an interception. Also, there's the very real possibility of the offense simply not making a play...dropping a pass, overthrowing a receiver, holding penalty, illegal procedure, etc etc.A touchdown is the same amount of points, no matter how fast you score it. If the odds of a stop go up, even if it looks uglier, isn't it worth it?
Wreck - I wonder - and this is a true question because I don't know the answer - what was CTR's style of play while at Penn State - was he overly conservative? I heard that they were a top-rated defense in the BIG 10 at the time so it could/should be an indication of how much defensive coaching knowledge he would display with different athletes...No, Roof's conservatism cost us dearly the last two games. I sincerely disagree with the assertion that he knows what he's doing.
I'm not saying it's simple. If we were a solid defense on 3rd and long, I'd agree, but we're not getting the stops a conservative defense needs to be effective. And blitzing doesn't always mean sending 5 or more--zone blitzes at least confuse the other offense. Crossing the middle against Duke and UNC, we weren't close enough to the receivers to make them drop anything, and not putting much pressure on. We're not forcing many punts, sometimes none, and rarely a field goal.Even if we were to concur that your assumption is correct that the odds of a stop go up on a blitz, you're only talking about the odds of a stop on that one play. But when you blitz, the odds of a big play definitely increase. So you're increasing the odds of giving up 7 points on the play. At least if you make them play dink and dunk, you increase the number of plays where your defense has the possibility of causing a fumble, making a stop, or getting an interception. Also, there's the very real possibility of the offense simply not making a play...dropping a pass, overthrowing a receiver, holding penalty, illegal procedure, etc etc.
If it were as simple as you propose, why wouldn't every defense blitz on every play? FWIW, we'll get to see such a defense this week. TENUTA BLITZ!!!
Possible problem for us is that NC state does have a decent QB I believeIt worked well for us today but Pitt doesn't have a very good passing QB. IIRC, his completion percentage was somewhere around 55% for the season before today.
FWIW, I expect us to have more trouble versus the pass with Virginia, Clemson (assuming Watson is back by then) and UGA. NC State doesn't appear to be very good but I haven't seen them play so I won't make a judgement on them.