Finishing worse than 4-4 would be a travesty with this conference schedule. Likelihood of wins IMHO:
Clemson...35% Clemson lost a lot on offense, but they have ripped our defense apart the last few years.
Miami......40% We've had our chances to take them down. We were in great position each of the last 2 years.
@VT........40% Same thing, just haven't been getting over the hump. Plus Thomas's first real road test of his career.
@UNC.....50% They are improving, but their defense hasn't shown anything to suggest they can stop CPJ since '08. On the road drops it from 60%.
@Pitt.......60% I wasn't impressed with them last year and the only reason it was close was because of their DT that left for the NFL.
@NCSU...65% They don't look to be putting up much of a fight this year.
Duke........75% They simply won't stop us after losing the backbone of their defense (which couldn't stop us anyway). They better hope to put up 40+ to win.
UVA.........80% Bad team in Atlanta for homecoming.
That put us in the neighborhood of 4.5 expected wins. I would guess that we win one of Clemson/Miami. Split the road games. And beat Duke/UVA to finish 5-3. Good old 5-3 which I believe CPJ has finished 4 out of the 6 years (with a 6-2 and 4-4 mixed in, but I could be wrong on that). Couple that with an unfortunately likely 3-1 OOC record for an 8-4 overall and headed to another boring bowl game. But good enough to keep CPJ for another year headed into a make-or-break season in 2015 with an absolutely brutal schedule including FSU, @ND, UGA, @Clemson, @Miami, VT, and the usual ACC suspects along with Tulane and hopefully a 2nd cupcake. If we aren't careful and/or Thomas doesn't work out at QB, that could be the end of our bowl streak.
Clemson, Miami, Pitt and VT lose their starting QB's- "Let's not worry about that, they're all contenders."
GT loses their starting QB- "Oh Lawdie the sky is falling they'll be lucky to win 6."
Every pre-season prediction I've seen thus far.
UNC loses Renner. How did their backup do last year after Renner went down with the injury?
It seems like almost every team in the ACC is replacing their starting QB from last year:
So why does losing a QB hurt GT anymore than the other schools? I don't see any way that Pitt is ending up ahead of GT. They're losing the best defensive player last year in the NCAA, a solid QB, and a solid WR.
The biggest problem with Vad wasn't talent, it was buy in. One thing you hear repeatedly from CPJ is how TB and JT have bought in. He said it again yesterday:Trouble for us is that many consider losing our last two starting QB's was a plus, at least prior to the season with the new guy starting
The biggest problem with Vad wasn't talent, it was buy in. One thing you hear repeatedly from CPJ is how TB and JT have bought in. He said it again yesterday:
"It's refreshing, they both engage in and want to do what we're doing."
It doesn't get any clearer than that.