FredJacket
Helluva Engineer
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Starting an ACC thread by repeating some stuff already posted elsewhere:
D1 baseball’s ACC preview
https://d1baseball.com/season-preview/2020-acc-preview-cards-canes-headline-deep-league/
They say 10 ACC teams are making NCAA tournament field. Everybody except VT, PITT, BC, and ND.
Using their standings predictions shown in order… I’ve listed last season’s ACC conference win totals (4 year avg): the 2020 cross-division opponents for Coastal teams.
Coastal
Miami – 18 (18): LOU, at FSU, CLEM, at ND
Duke – 15 (15): FSU, at NCST, at WF, CLEM
Ga Tech – 19 (14): at FSU, NCST, at CLEM, BC
UNC – 17 (19): LOU, at NCST, at WF, ND
UVA – 14 (16): at LOU, NCST, WF, at BC
Va Tech – 9 (8): at LOU, WF, at BC, ND
Pitt – 8 (10): FSU, at CLEM, BC, at ND
Atlantic
Louisville – 21 (21)
FSU – 17 (16)
NC State – 18 (17)
Wake Forest – 14 (15)
Clemson – 15 (18)
Boston College – 12 (11)
Notre Dame – 13 (12)
My view of the conference for 2020 goes like this. Louisville is a HEAVY favorite to win its division and have the #1 seed at the ACC Tournament. After Louisville…. those other 9 teams who D1 thinks are going to a regional are probably all pretty close to same. So.. I’d say Louisville could finish conference play with 22-25 wins. Those other 9 will fall in the 14-19 win range. And those bottom four lucky to reach double digit wins. Those are gross generalizations; but puts the conference in 3 buckets:
Elite: LOU
Good: MIA, DUKE, GT, UNC, UVA, FSU, NCST, WF, CLEM
Not Good: VT, PITT, BC, ND
The fact the ACC only schedules 30 conference games…leaves “fun” in analyzing the schedules; specifically, the cross division games, to find little advantages/disadvantages.
Focusing on the Coastal… these 3 teams do not play Louisville: DUKE, GT, PITT
This year…. This could be huge as LOU could win every series they play. So… dismissing PITT; it would appear DUKE and GT probably gain an advantage over MIA, UNC, & UVA simply on that scheduling thing (avoiding LOU).
DUKE… they have to play 8 of the 10 teams D1 thinks make the regional. They don't play BC or ND this year.
The rest of the Coastal plays 7 of the 10.
Bottom line… I feel like GT has a small scheduling advantage in the Coastal. Going ahead and getting ahead of myself… the 1st ACC series in Atlanta against VT is important. Ga Tech will have played 2 big weekend series leading up to ACC play (OSU and UGA). Hopefully… those will prepare the team to take care of business against a weak ACC opponent (one of the few on the schedule...and only one at home) and get the conference schedule started off right because after that… no series will be as easy on paper the rest of the way. If things play out like I expect and are close… having MIA come to Atlanta for the final ACC regular season games in mid-May could be a winner take all (for Coastal) deal.
Ok... I'm ready for BASEBALL!! Go JACKETS!!
D1 baseball’s ACC preview
https://d1baseball.com/season-preview/2020-acc-preview-cards-canes-headline-deep-league/
They say 10 ACC teams are making NCAA tournament field. Everybody except VT, PITT, BC, and ND.
Using their standings predictions shown in order… I’ve listed last season’s ACC conference win totals (4 year avg): the 2020 cross-division opponents for Coastal teams.
Coastal
Miami – 18 (18): LOU, at FSU, CLEM, at ND
Duke – 15 (15): FSU, at NCST, at WF, CLEM
Ga Tech – 19 (14): at FSU, NCST, at CLEM, BC
UNC – 17 (19): LOU, at NCST, at WF, ND
UVA – 14 (16): at LOU, NCST, WF, at BC
Va Tech – 9 (8): at LOU, WF, at BC, ND
Pitt – 8 (10): FSU, at CLEM, BC, at ND
Atlantic
Louisville – 21 (21)
FSU – 17 (16)
NC State – 18 (17)
Wake Forest – 14 (15)
Clemson – 15 (18)
Boston College – 12 (11)
Notre Dame – 13 (12)
My view of the conference for 2020 goes like this. Louisville is a HEAVY favorite to win its division and have the #1 seed at the ACC Tournament. After Louisville…. those other 9 teams who D1 thinks are going to a regional are probably all pretty close to same. So.. I’d say Louisville could finish conference play with 22-25 wins. Those other 9 will fall in the 14-19 win range. And those bottom four lucky to reach double digit wins. Those are gross generalizations; but puts the conference in 3 buckets:
Elite: LOU
Good: MIA, DUKE, GT, UNC, UVA, FSU, NCST, WF, CLEM
Not Good: VT, PITT, BC, ND
The fact the ACC only schedules 30 conference games…leaves “fun” in analyzing the schedules; specifically, the cross division games, to find little advantages/disadvantages.
Focusing on the Coastal… these 3 teams do not play Louisville: DUKE, GT, PITT
This year…. This could be huge as LOU could win every series they play. So… dismissing PITT; it would appear DUKE and GT probably gain an advantage over MIA, UNC, & UVA simply on that scheduling thing (avoiding LOU).
DUKE… they have to play 8 of the 10 teams D1 thinks make the regional. They don't play BC or ND this year.
The rest of the Coastal plays 7 of the 10.
Bottom line… I feel like GT has a small scheduling advantage in the Coastal. Going ahead and getting ahead of myself… the 1st ACC series in Atlanta against VT is important. Ga Tech will have played 2 big weekend series leading up to ACC play (OSU and UGA). Hopefully… those will prepare the team to take care of business against a weak ACC opponent (one of the few on the schedule...and only one at home) and get the conference schedule started off right because after that… no series will be as easy on paper the rest of the way. If things play out like I expect and are close… having MIA come to Atlanta for the final ACC regular season games in mid-May could be a winner take all (for Coastal) deal.
Ok... I'm ready for BASEBALL!! Go JACKETS!!
