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Today's update of the projection model didn't change much. As would be expected. Right now the model projects the first day where the avg # deaths in the US drops below 100 is June 11. The first date where the upper confidence bound is below 100 is June 28th. I think the ventilator issue is...

This is the type of headline every University President is going to be thinking about when they have to make a decision this summer on whether to allow students back on campus in the fall. My belief is Presidents are going to have to feel very confident that they aren't going to see headlines...

I believe the 100-200K estimate is the current best guess for the run of the virus (through next year) given that the models now suggest an avg of about 80K deaths through the end of July. Most of those happening in April and May and to some extent June as health care facilities get overwhelmed...

It's also worth reading their daily update page http://www.healthdata.org/covid/updates It gives you what has changed since the last model run. What analytical measures were changed or added. What updates they were able to make to assumptions based on new data and information. One interesting...

if anyone wants to have fun with numbers, here is the link for the COVID 19 Peak Projection model from the Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington. This is one of the models being used by the US Health professionals. The model assumes that every state that...

Little pieces of good news. First, just released study on the mortality rate for COVID-19 has it lower than previous analyses (as it tries to take into account asymptomatic cases). it puts the mortality rate at 0.66%. Much better than the 1.4% before. But still much higher than the 0.1% for...

Translated using Google Translate from the original French. Unfortunately not a great start to using drug therapies for COVID 19. Monday, March 30, 11:35 p.m .: Medicines agency warns of side effects of experimental therapies France's drug agency ANSM has identified potential dangerous side...

This is the thing that I expect every University President wants to avoid and will play on their minds as they eventually decide how long to wait before allowing students back on campus...

Little pieces of good news. First, just released study on the mortality rate for COVID-19 has it lower than previous analyses (as it tries to take into account asymptomatic cases). it puts the mortality rate at 0.66%. Much better than the 1.4% before. But still much higher than the 0.1% for...

Sounds like the NCAA actually did a good job. https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/ncaa-grants-additional-season-of-eligibility-for-spring-sport-athletes-impacted-by-coronavirus/

NCAA votes yes to extra year for spring sports, no to winter sports.

The coaching carousel in 1 or 2 years is going to be insane. May be more like 2 years if athletic budgets are hit hard enough. But with no P6 coaching changes at all, at some point there is going to be a year where there is a huge turnover of coaches and schools fighting over the pool of candidates.

China re-opened 500 theaters last week. They closed them again this week. A combination of 'too soon' - no one was showing up, and worries about the virus starting up again (they were seeing increasing cases).

I thought I got an email from GT saying if I purchased season tickets and games were cancelled my tickets would be refunded. i believe legally, if an event is cancelled, rather than postponed, then refunds are required.

FWIW, a relatively cogent article from Mark Bradley on not seeing sports for some time https://www.ajc.com/blog/mark-bradley/let-real-mightn-see-sports-again-for-while/tgAXYX7WTvxCNNKNhCgrON/ i didn't realize South Korea has cancelled its basketball league. Maybe more importantly, no Asian...

Rayshaun Hammonds has declared for the NBA Draft (but has not retained an agent so he has the option to return).

Starting to be chatter that the NBA Draft could be moved to August or September. That will really put those who have their name in the draft in a precarious position...

FWIW, the extra year of eligibility for Spring Sport SR is no longer seen as a sure thing. https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/why-extra-eligibility-for-spring-college-athletes-is-not-a-slam-dunk-as-ncaa-prepares-to-vote/

This is something to keep an eye on. if you start to see alot of people with large mouthpieces saying you shouldn't have the seasons (which in fairness is not what Kirk is saying, he's not advocating for the seasons not to be played, just giving his opinion that he doesn't see how it is going to...

Just to clarify the Olympics new date is July 23, 2021. Exactly one year from its original start date. I would certainly hope that that date holds or otherwise we have much bigger problems in the World.