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Haslametrics put their own forecast for GT out for 2023-24, and I guess you gotta say something: Despite what their win percentage might indicate, Georgia Tech is a good team that can cause more than enough trouble for most opponents. They have a record of 0-0 and are ranked 81st overall (out...

F+, as of week 7, would have BC and UVA games as pretty even, and would favor VT over us. Rk Team Rec FBS FEI OFEI Rk DFEI Rk ELS Rk GLS Rk ALS Rk 76 Louisiana 4-2 3-2 -.11 .30 31 -.46 106 .05 129 .27 125 1.47 123 77 Marshall 4-2 3-2 -.11 -.39 87 .24 53 .05 131 .39 120 1.80...

Here’s a repost from the CFP thread (which got into rankings, and some of this). We’re not in the top 30 anywhere, but FSU and Duke—yes, Duke—show up well: Here’s a different resume system—it’s Kelly Ford’s “most deserving”. It’s not a prediction—it’s who has played the best against their...

This isn’t quite his “methodology” but he explains his preseason ratings a little bit at https://open.substack.com/pub/kenpom/p/preseason-ratings-are-live? His ratings are: (last 5 seasons)(last three conference seasons)(returning production)(transfers & incoming freshmen) We’re weak on the...

Here’s a different resume system—it’s Kelly Ford’s “most deserving”. It’s not a prediction—it’s who has played the best against their schedule And here’s the weekly progression (you can see “week 0”, where only the teams that played an early game got rated)

He’s at least a second-rounder. Maybe a first, if the Falcons want a second tight end (their draft strategy baffles me).

Michigan State a possibility

They have a different definition of “best”. Maybe there’s a third point of view, but models usually fall on the spectrum of “resume” (what have you accomplished) vs predictive (how likely are you to win and score way more points than the other team). For the polls, they usually fall somewhere...

if we get the good crew. Otherwise, it’s the historic matchup of the two non-military academies without “University” in our name for the entire game If you have one player spying Castellanos, it’s a risk that player gets schemed out. If it’s an LB spy, the OC sets up Castellanos to outrun him...

Our defense is Dr Jekyll and Mr Hyde—mainly whichever is the one you don’t want, though. The Miami game wasn’t as bad as the yardage made it look. Statistically , it’s still one of the worst defenses in FBS. Like, bottom 10. I’m a long way away from feeling comfortable about our defense, or...

Everybody so far gives up yardage to Miami. UNC gave up 482 yards and 31 points to Miami. By yardage, Miami is the #7 offense in FBS. Only Texas A&M held them to fewer yards than us—they gave up 451, and we gave up 452. We definitely—and by far—held them to their season low in points. It’ll be...

The AP top 25 isn’t out yet, and the CFP rankings don’t come out until October 31. The AP does a nice job of writing up the CFP and Heisman race here. At Oregon, Dan Lanning was bold and lost. He often made the calls the analytics point to. Coaches get more criticism for being bold than...

Favre and HoF QBs forced throws all the time. Sometimes you get burned that way; sometimes you’re on a highlight reel.

Notre Dame brought coastal chaos to USC.

Dare I say, “tripolar”? Quadripolar?

Mario Cristóbal held up 4 fingers going into the 4th quarter, right after his team gave up two unanswered TDs, as if to say “we can totally blow the 3rd quarter if we hang tough in the 4th”. I guess it’s a strategy

Where did this Pitt come from? Pitt thrashed Louisville 38-21 VT thumped Wake 30-13 FSU 41-3 over Syracuse Van Dyke just threw a terrible pick against UNC

I wasn’t listing every team. I was saying Hershel Walker made Dooley look like a much better coach than he was. Bo Jackson probably made Dye look like a better coach than he really was, too. I was disagreeing with the idea that Curry faced tougher opponents and coaches than Key does. I saw...

Strength of schedule is tricky to use. Colorado doesn’t have a team as strong as UGA on their schedule, but they have Oregon and USC and Utah who are good enough to beat just about anyone else. If you’re the #35 team in the country, you could miss bowl eligibility playing 7 teams from the top...

I was at Tech when Curry was coaching. I think it was a lot easier to field a competitive team then than it is now, and the coaching now is better than it was then. I also don’t think Vince Dooley was a particularly good coach—I think Richt and Smart were/are both much better coaches. Walker...