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  1. ibeattetris

    Stats models and rankings

    Yeah this is pulled from bcftoys and removes ScSt. I don't imagine it would be much improved with their inclusion. I am trying to imagine a scenario where someone presents me with novel information I don't understand, and instead of asking questions to widen my knowledge, I say "that has to be...
  2. ibeattetris

    Stats models and rankings

    Spent some time just poking around bcf toys today and some of the numbers are crazy. There are still 4 school averaging over 4 ppd at this point in the season. Michigan, Washington, Oregon, Airforce 3 schools are still averaging less than 1 point per drive on defense. Michigan, Penn State, Duke...
  3. ibeattetris

    ACC Standings

    Maybe I really overestimate UNC and undervalue UVA, but I have a hard time thinking UNC doesn't cover this.
  4. ibeattetris

    CFP Discussion

    I think FEI and SP+ do a good job of taking the subjectivity out of the predictive based polls. Taking things like net points per play/net points per drive into account can help "break the tie" in cases where similar schedules and similar records combine. I think it is safe to say that a 12-0...
  5. ibeattetris

    CFP Discussion

    I think it is another good tool to have in the tool shed. I think there are other systems that can work as well. The ELO system is another where everything is reset at the start of a season and is based on how chess does ratings. This was how Sagarin did it's computer ranking back in the BCS...
  6. ibeattetris

    #GTvsMIA Postgame

    It's amazing how one decision changed the entire season for Miami. They take a knee, they are top 15 when they lose to other top 15 UNC. Maybe they win out and end 11-1 with a chance at ACC bid and who knows what happens if they beat UNC in rematch. Instead they are 4-2 and looking down the...
  7. ibeattetris

    CFP Discussion

    Colley isn't meant to be predictive, but to explore who has won games against teams with better records. Here is another poll called CPI that aims to do the same thing as Colley (but IMO shows its work better): http://www.cpiratings.com/top25.html JMU 9 UGA 13 UGA and JMU are both undefeated...
  8. ibeattetris

    Backdoor ACC Championship Game?

    Didn’t 2010 VT win the ACC championship despite losing to an FCS school?
  9. ibeattetris

    #GTvsMIA Postgame

    This is not the case. I have been seeing it quite a bit recently where qbs are sliding after they think they have a first down to stop the clock, but the slide starts right near the line. The knee has nothing to do with a slide sadly. Qbs need to be taught to dive / roll forward when attempting...
  10. ibeattetris

    Backdoor ACC Championship Game?

    I think Key will make sure the players are focusing on the right things. As fans, I am pretty sure it's our job to pontificate random **** like this.
  11. ibeattetris

    #GTvsMIA Postgame

    From the same thread 😂😂
  12. ibeattetris

    #GTvsMIA Postgame

    Edit: I meant to post this in GT Miami postgame, feel free to move.
  13. ibeattetris

    Worst coaching decision... ever?

    Now confirmed to be the call the OC made: https://theathletic.com./4946642/2023/10/09/mario-cristobal-miami-coordinators-georgia-tech/?source=user_shared_article Honestly, this was a failure from top to bottom. Truly wonderful.
  14. ibeattetris

    #GTvsMIA Postgame

    I forgot that is where DRad ended up. not every hero wears capes. If they think playing normal coverage to try to prevent a FG attempt was the right call, they didn't really have a scouting report of our kicking game. Considering we were on the 44 yard line with 10 seconds left, if we get...
  15. ibeattetris

    Stats models and rankings

    No clue how I've missed this until now, but BCF toys provides drive level outputs for all games: https://www.bcftoys.com/2023-ps-w06#291 Would have been nice to know this when I was looking at things after the Louisville/Ole Miss games. The overall game split for defense is good...
  16. ibeattetris

    Upcoming Boston College game

    I agree that our team cannot let off the gas in terms of intensity. I do think that winning the game is going to be better for us in this scenario though. I am trying to imagine a world where we lose to BG then get blown out by Miami and still find it in us to prepare hard and come out swinging...
  17. ibeattetris

    Worst coaching decision... ever?

    The line was more then 15. Unless he had a shifted line, 7 points there wouldn't have covered anything. I do subscribe to the theory that it was to get his back to 100 yards. It seems like such a stupid reason to lose a football game that it must be true.
  18. ibeattetris

    Worst coaching decision... ever?

    I, for one, congratulate the young man immensely for getting 100 yards for the first time in his career. Not only did he reach a meaningless milestone, but it also enabled GT to comeback and win. Truly, everyone is a winner in this scenario.
  19. ibeattetris

    #GTvsMIA Schadenfreude

    https://deadspin.com/the-d-list-mario-cristobal-makes-miami-look-like-colle-1850910763
  20. ibeattetris

    #GTvsMIA Schadenfreude

    Ok that is pretty good.
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