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  1. slugboy

    FSU

    They have four freshmen and a sophomore. Looks like they went into to season all-in on DJU. Last year’s backup quarterback transferred out (maybe pushed). Tate Rodemaker was their only upperclassman QB other than Jordan Travis.
  2. slugboy

    Analytics post mortem

    Here it is in EPA (how many points you were expected to score, based on what you did). It’s a little better
  3. slugboy

    AP Ranking

    Right, but being the home team (except at FSU, apparently) is worth three points. Teams play better at home (except FSU, apparently). A 3.5 point spread is a 3.5 point spread. We’re favored by a field goal. That’s it.
  4. slugboy

    Florida State Schadenfreude

    Check out the FSU logo . Analysts rewriting their copy after last night
  5. slugboy

    Georgia State Post Game thread

    Can we talk about Ga State in this thread? kthxbye
  6. slugboy

    2024 non-GT games thread

    DJU should have stayed there
  7. slugboy

    2024 non-GT games thread

    Worse yet, he misses his reads—he has receivers open, but he throws into coverage Yeah, he’s losing the game for his team Stat line Yards/play EPA/play EPA SR WPA Dropbacks DJ Uiagalelei 8/21, 100 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 1 Sck, 52.7 xQBR, 0.00 DETMER 4.55 -0.25 -5.50 27% -13.0%
  8. slugboy

    2024 non-GT games thread

    DJU is 3/10 passing, averaging 3 yards per pass. One pass was 25 yards. That’s atrocious. How does Norvell not recognize this?
  9. slugboy

    AP Ranking

    I retract my prediction that FSU remains ranked after today
  10. slugboy

    2024 non-GT games thread

    I’m out. BC might be improving, but good teams don’t lose two in a row, and FSU is getting stomped on offense, defense, and special teams. FSU does not look like a good team. DJU can’t complete a pass beyond 5 yards. Somehow, Castellanos can. They’re falling out of the top 25.
  11. slugboy

    2024 non-GT games thread

    Straight up the gut. It’s an indictment BC up by 7
  12. slugboy

    2024 non-GT games thread

    Norvell better get his team straightened out. They’re getting pushed around
  13. slugboy

    AP Ranking

    Yeah, but we’re THERE and not at a neutral field. Home field advantage is usually real.
  14. slugboy

    AP Ranking

    We’re currently favored by 3.5 points. The bookies think it’s a squeaker, and not that far from even odds. https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/football/ncaa-football-games/georgia-tech-@-syracuse-33544862
  15. slugboy

    Analytics post mortem

    Yup. It’s based on net success rate. Letting the other team repeatedly drive to the 1 yard line usually loses you a lot of games. I’m both happy we were tough in the red zone and would rather they never saw the red zone. UGA had a lot of big plays (and we had a few). Miami was a big...
  16. slugboy

    Georgia State Post Game thread

    I don’t see how not playing UGA helps Georgia State, Georgia Southern, or other schools in the state.
  17. slugboy

    College Football Season Picks

    Miami has this I wish they had Louisville, FSU, then us. They have a breather with Duke right before us. But maybe Manny will be ready for them.
  18. slugboy

    College Football Season Picks

    It’s about the schedule. We might have the toughest in-conference schedule. The good news is that we don’t have Clemson. We also don’t have Stanford, UVA, Wake, or BC (we don’t have many patsies) There’s a chart for each ACC team at https://kfordratings.com/projections. Here is ours Here is...
  19. slugboy

    Analytics post mortem

    Yeah, that’s based mostly on last year’s defenses. Funny thing is, Ohio’s defense was a lot higher ranked than our defense last season. Here’s the bias-free Colley matrix after week 0–we’re #1!!! https://www.colleyrankings.com/currank.html (Come back after 5 weeks for that one, too)
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