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<blockquote data-quote="GTNavyNuke" data-source="post: 943668" data-attributes="member: 322"><p>Here's why I think we *have* to win 2 at VT to get a bid.</p><p></p><p>Picking up on the Auburn posts about RPI, agree with [USER=2843]@FredJacket[/USER] about our winning of our games only being 1/4 of the RPI where wins are considered. Another wrinkle that is very important is that the winning percentage is not straight wins and losses, but adjusted wins and losses. "Starting in 2013, college baseball RPI formula values <strong>each road victory as 1.3 instead of 1.0</strong>. <strong>Each home win is valued at 0.7 instead of 1.0</strong>. Conversely, each home loss counts 1.3 against a team's RPI and each road loss counts 0.7 against a team's RPI."</p><p></p><p> I don't dislike RPI (intentional double negative as opposed to affirmative) as it's the best thing out there given ~290 D1 teams to be ranked and wide variation in schedules. I also think it gives the smaller schools a slight advantage to getting a bid rather than the big schools who already have many advantages. </p><p></p><p>More importantly, here's our "needs" report. Keep in mind we have 22 games left, 11 @ home and 11 away. <a href="http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html" target="_blank">http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html</a></p><p><strong>To make top 45</strong> (which probably won't get a bid IMHO unless we are 16-14 in ACC), <strong>we have to 13-9 or 14-10</strong>.</p><p><strong>To make top 32</strong> which would get us a bid since we'd probably only need to be at 500 in ACC, <strong>we have to go 17-5 or 16-6</strong>. Very hard with @Miami, UVa and @Duke to go. (Pitt isn't hard).</p><p></p><p>[ATTACH=full]14280[/ATTACH]</p><p></p><p>And from Warren Nolan, here's why our RPI is so low right now - due to those Quad 4 teams OOC. That was the scheduling screw up we made -- and an unforced error in my opinion. Only "bad" loss which wasn't that bad was to Ga State. (<a href="https://www.warrennolan.com/baseball/2023/team-sheet?team=Georgia-Tech" target="_blank">https://www.warrennolan.com/baseball/2023/team-sheet?team=Georgia-Tech</a> )</p><p>[ATTACH=full]14281[/ATTACH]</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTNavyNuke, post: 943668, member: 322"] Here's why I think we *have* to win 2 at VT to get a bid. Picking up on the Auburn posts about RPI, agree with [USER=2843]@FredJacket[/USER] about our winning of our games only being 1/4 of the RPI where wins are considered. Another wrinkle that is very important is that the winning percentage is not straight wins and losses, but adjusted wins and losses. "Starting in 2013, college baseball RPI formula values [B]each road victory as 1.3 instead of 1.0[/B]. [B]Each home win is valued at 0.7 instead of 1.0[/B]. Conversely, each home loss counts 1.3 against a team's RPI and each road loss counts 0.7 against a team's RPI." I don't dislike RPI (intentional double negative as opposed to affirmative) as it's the best thing out there given ~290 D1 teams to be ranked and wide variation in schedules. I also think it gives the smaller schools a slight advantage to getting a bid rather than the big schools who already have many advantages. More importantly, here's our "needs" report. Keep in mind we have 22 games left, 11 @ home and 11 away. [URL]http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html[/URL] [B]To make top 45[/B] (which probably won't get a bid IMHO unless we are 16-14 in ACC), [B]we have to 13-9 or 14-10[/B]. [B]To make top 32[/B] which would get us a bid since we'd probably only need to be at 500 in ACC, [B]we have to go 17-5 or 16-6[/B]. Very hard with @Miami, UVa and @Duke to go. (Pitt isn't hard). [ATTACH type="full"]14280[/ATTACH] And from Warren Nolan, here's why our RPI is so low right now - due to those Quad 4 teams OOC. That was the scheduling screw up we made -- and an unforced error in my opinion. Only "bad" loss which wasn't that bad was to Ga State. ([URL]https://www.warrennolan.com/baseball/2023/team-sheet?team=Georgia-Tech[/URL] ) [ATTACH type="full"]14281[/ATTACH] [/QUOTE]
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