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With the cancellation of the Central Florida game, we can only win 10 regular season games this year since we are 1-1. So I thought we could re-do the poll.
My earlier estimate was 8 game in the regular season like last year. Central Florida was 1 of those wins. So I'd be down to 7 wins. But the first two games have shown me
1) a good offense maybe better than last year
2) the same unreliable defense
3) significantly degraded FG and KO kicking and better punting.
So I should be at 7 games, but I don't see that, I see 6 wins in the regular season and squeaking into a bowl. We could get a break or two and win 8 or not get the breaks and end up at 4:
Pitt - 70% chance of win
UNC - 70%
@ Miami - 50%
Wake - 80%
@Clemson - 20%
@UVa - 70%
VT - 50%
@Duke - 50%
UGAg - 40%
Total remaining 500% = 5 wins.
My earlier estimate was 8 game in the regular season like last year. Central Florida was 1 of those wins. So I'd be down to 7 wins. But the first two games have shown me
1) a good offense maybe better than last year
2) the same unreliable defense
3) significantly degraded FG and KO kicking and better punting.
So I should be at 7 games, but I don't see that, I see 6 wins in the regular season and squeaking into a bowl. We could get a break or two and win 8 or not get the breaks and end up at 4:
Pitt - 70% chance of win
UNC - 70%
@ Miami - 50%
Wake - 80%
@Clemson - 20%
@UVa - 70%
VT - 50%
@Duke - 50%
UGAg - 40%
Total remaining 500% = 5 wins.