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<blockquote data-quote="AE 87" data-source="post: 176240" data-attributes="member: 195"><p>I don't know. After his stupid statement of facts about our opponents, his 5 of 7 list is basically, "We have to dramatically outplay them on offense and defense if we want to win." </p><p></p><p>For example, he includes, "score more than 39." Last year, ND scored more than 39 against Rice, UNC, Navy, and Northwestern. So, it's not like scoring that many pts comes easy for them. Also, they had 14 drives against Northwestern to get to 40 and 15 against UNC to get to 50. I won't be surprised if they only have 10 or 11 drives against us.</p><p></p><p>Or, they "can't be forced to punt more than 3 times." That was true for ND last year vs. Rice, FSU, and Navy.</p><p></p><p>Or, they "must score TD's on at least 87% trips into Red Zone." They did this once last year versus UNC, 6 for 6. Otherwise, they reached 83% versus Navy. They averaged 64.5% TD in trips into Red Zone.</p><p></p><p>For them to win, according to the link, one of these has to happen plus all the others I didn't list (like turning us over 2 times without turning it over themselves at all)</p><p></p><p>It's not like he made the game out as a gimme with his list.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="AE 87, post: 176240, member: 195"] I don't know. After his stupid statement of facts about our opponents, his 5 of 7 list is basically, "We have to dramatically outplay them on offense and defense if we want to win." For example, he includes, "score more than 39." Last year, ND scored more than 39 against Rice, UNC, Navy, and Northwestern. So, it's not like scoring that many pts comes easy for them. Also, they had 14 drives against Northwestern to get to 40 and 15 against UNC to get to 50. I won't be surprised if they only have 10 or 11 drives against us. Or, they "can't be forced to punt more than 3 times." That was true for ND last year vs. Rice, FSU, and Navy. Or, they "must score TD's on at least 87% trips into Red Zone." They did this once last year versus UNC, 6 for 6. Otherwise, they reached 83% versus Navy. They averaged 64.5% TD in trips into Red Zone. For them to win, according to the link, one of these has to happen plus all the others I didn't list (like turning us over 2 times without turning it over themselves at all) It's not like he made the game out as a gimme with his list. [/QUOTE]
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