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Tech's Likelihood of Winning
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<blockquote data-quote="slugboy" data-source="post: 951451" data-attributes="member: 282"><p>(I had to do some deleting to fit the text into one post)</p><p></p><p>Bowling Green and South Carolina State aren’t on the list. The schedule begins Louisville->SC State->Ole Miss->Wake Forest->Bowling Green->Miami->BC->UNC->UVA->Clemson->Syracuse->UGA. SC State and Bowling Green should be wins, and should be needed breathers in the early part of the schedule. </p><p></p><p>The eye test is what’s really important, but it matches up pretty well with the stats. </p><p></p><p>For us, we shouldn’t be the #92 team next year. On offense, our QB numbers and our WR numbers should get a lot better. Offense and Special Teams were a disaster. We have a great special teams coach who has brought each of his units towards the top. If he takes us from somewhere around #124 to top 40, we’ll be much better just based on special teams improvement. </p><p></p><p>On offense, one of my big questions is how we block—do we have wide splits and move to more of an air-raid Dana Holgorsen blocking scheme? Key is a “big people beat up little people” believer, so possibly not. I’m sure we’ll improve in other areas—I expect our receiving to get a lot better, and I expect our run game to improve. We really need to improve on short yardage—we’re horrible there. </p><p></p><p>Louisville should get better on offense. I’m hoping they decline on defense. That’s not a great matchup for us—if their defense is still solid, we’ll need to play a fantastic game on offense to be in the game. If we hold their score down, it’ll mean we have a great defense. </p><p> </p><p>At Ole Miss, I expect their offense to continue to be great. We need to find a way to reliably score against them. We need turnovers and we need to score. </p><p></p><p>Wake is interesting. If our offense is decent, we should be able to trade scores with them. We might match up pretty well. </p><p></p><p>Miami’s offense was a shambles last year. Their defense pushed us around, and that was the difference in the game. This could be a good matchup. Cristobal is revamping that team—if he has, then they could be one of the better teams in the ACC—but if their offense is still inconsistent, we have a shot. </p><p></p><p>If BC and UNC are as bad on defense as in past seasons, we have a good shot at both games. We should be better than BC and UVA. </p><p></p><p>If UVA continues to be bad on offense, then we can get one of those rare wins in Charlottesville. </p><p></p><p>Syracuse isn’t very good, but they’re not terrible anywhere. That’s going to need a good coaching job. </p><p></p><p>Looking down the list, if our defense is as good as last year, and we get special teams above average (likely) and offense above average (likely), we’re bowling. Those are big “ifs”, but we have the right coaching staff for it. </p><p></p><p>This team has a very good shot at a 6-6 season if Key plays his cards right</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="slugboy, post: 951451, member: 282"] (I had to do some deleting to fit the text into one post) Bowling Green and South Carolina State aren’t on the list. The schedule begins Louisville->SC State->Ole Miss->Wake Forest->Bowling Green->Miami->BC->UNC->UVA->Clemson->Syracuse->UGA. SC State and Bowling Green should be wins, and should be needed breathers in the early part of the schedule. The eye test is what’s really important, but it matches up pretty well with the stats. For us, we shouldn’t be the #92 team next year. On offense, our QB numbers and our WR numbers should get a lot better. Offense and Special Teams were a disaster. We have a great special teams coach who has brought each of his units towards the top. If he takes us from somewhere around #124 to top 40, we’ll be much better just based on special teams improvement. On offense, one of my big questions is how we block—do we have wide splits and move to more of an air-raid Dana Holgorsen blocking scheme? Key is a “big people beat up little people” believer, so possibly not. I’m sure we’ll improve in other areas—I expect our receiving to get a lot better, and I expect our run game to improve. We really need to improve on short yardage—we’re horrible there. Louisville should get better on offense. I’m hoping they decline on defense. That’s not a great matchup for us—if their defense is still solid, we’ll need to play a fantastic game on offense to be in the game. If we hold their score down, it’ll mean we have a great defense. At Ole Miss, I expect their offense to continue to be great. We need to find a way to reliably score against them. We need turnovers and we need to score. Wake is interesting. If our offense is decent, we should be able to trade scores with them. We might match up pretty well. Miami’s offense was a shambles last year. Their defense pushed us around, and that was the difference in the game. This could be a good matchup. Cristobal is revamping that team—if he has, then they could be one of the better teams in the ACC—but if their offense is still inconsistent, we have a shot. If BC and UNC are as bad on defense as in past seasons, we have a good shot at both games. We should be better than BC and UVA. If UVA continues to be bad on offense, then we can get one of those rare wins in Charlottesville. Syracuse isn’t very good, but they’re not terrible anywhere. That’s going to need a good coaching job. Looking down the list, if our defense is as good as last year, and we get special teams above average (likely) and offense above average (likely), we’re bowling. Those are big “ifs”, but we have the right coaching staff for it. This team has a very good shot at a 6-6 season if Key plays his cards right [/QUOTE]
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