I don't think we'll win the ACC. Our bracket maybe. But UVa or FSU have tremendous pitching depth. The best hope for anyone in our bracket is that UVa and FSU play a 20-25 inning game on Saturday starting at 7PM. http://www.d1baseball.com/2014/tournies2014.htm
Anyway, to answer your question, Boyds World doesn't think we would get to 16 even if we make it to the ACC CG. I don't know what winning the ACC CG would do, but I doubt we get to the top 16 since we have a lot of baggage in losses to inferior teams (VT, USF, etc, etc). Look under G at http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi/rpineeds.html#G In all honesty, I think the top 16 should be more of a total season effort, not just the end.
Don't get me wrong, I'd love it. But the way I look at it, it really doesn't matter much. There isn't a team we can't beat with 14 hits. So the challenge to get to the CWS will be greater by not being in the top 16 but not impossible by any means. What has me so excited is that this is such a young team. And they are playing so smart. A few years ago, GT bludgeoned people to death with HRs but not a lot else. Now we are winning with finesse. The players play loose and know they (mostly) will be back.
Also for crl, I thought you had a good question about NCAA seedings. When I answered, I assumed that the NCAA selection committee would use RPI fairly strictly. That may not be the case: at http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/faq.html
"How closely does the selection committee follow the RPI's?
It varies from year to year -- generally they seem to use it for justification more than guidance. Jim Carr has done a good bit of analysis on this."
Also, I just loved this concept "Any rating system for sports is inherently going to have a bit of impreciseness built into it, because sports are inherently random; this is why we bother to watch the games rather than watching a pre-determined art form like film or ballet. This is especially true for college baseball, in part because of the relatively short season and in part because baseball is the most random of major sports. In professional sports, the best football teams generally win 90% of their games, the best basketball teams routinely win 80% of their games, and the best baseball teams struggle to win 66%."