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Schedule release tomorrow (Wed) at 2p
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<blockquote data-quote="Deleted member 2897" data-source="post: 393230"><p>Well we are Georgia Tech grads, so we can figure out that the odds of us being the team that plays the only team who plays an FCS opponent is 1 out of 14 (15 minus Virginia themselves), or about 7%.</p><p></p><p>You realize there are advantages right, that affect outcomes? For example, a home field advantage for the same 2 teams is about 3 points. That is to say if 2 teams were viewed as totally even and played on a neutral field, each team would be favored by 3 points if the game had to be moved to their field. That is a 1 touchdown swing depending on where you play.</p><p></p><p>Teams playing after Bye Weeks are no different. Last year we lost on the road to a Top 10 Miami team in a torrential downpour on a crazy play by 1 point. That was the first loss CPJ ever had in his 10 years where we had a Bye week when our opponent didn't (no thanks to the ACC, that was due to Miami/FSU rescheduling). We were an undefeated something like 4-0 or 5-0 before that (can't remember the exact number). When we play a team that has a Bye week before us and we didn't, we're something like 3-7...again, going from memory. Now keep in mind, CPJs total record in ACC play is 46-34 for a 57% win percentage (or 45-27 and and 63% absent injury ridden 2015 if you prefer that). So these Bye Week variations are materially different than regular play. It matters. And we know it matters, because we hear about games like Jacksonville State that we played on short rest when they were off and how our guys were limping around all week and basically couldn't practice. If Virginia wins big against Liberty and their starters barely play a half, that matters. In terms of points, who knows. But yea, if we barely lose to Virginia by a couple points, then certainly shame on us. But this again misses the larger point - we shouldn't even have to worry about how many points this might be worth. It just shouldn't keep happening over and over and over. 6 of our 11 FBS games next year are against teams that either have the week off before us, or they play an FCS-like opponent. It just shouldn't happen.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Deleted member 2897, post: 393230"] Well we are Georgia Tech grads, so we can figure out that the odds of us being the team that plays the only team who plays an FCS opponent is 1 out of 14 (15 minus Virginia themselves), or about 7%. You realize there are advantages right, that affect outcomes? For example, a home field advantage for the same 2 teams is about 3 points. That is to say if 2 teams were viewed as totally even and played on a neutral field, each team would be favored by 3 points if the game had to be moved to their field. That is a 1 touchdown swing depending on where you play. Teams playing after Bye Weeks are no different. Last year we lost on the road to a Top 10 Miami team in a torrential downpour on a crazy play by 1 point. That was the first loss CPJ ever had in his 10 years where we had a Bye week when our opponent didn't (no thanks to the ACC, that was due to Miami/FSU rescheduling). We were an undefeated something like 4-0 or 5-0 before that (can't remember the exact number). When we play a team that has a Bye week before us and we didn't, we're something like 3-7...again, going from memory. Now keep in mind, CPJs total record in ACC play is 46-34 for a 57% win percentage (or 45-27 and and 63% absent injury ridden 2015 if you prefer that). So these Bye Week variations are materially different than regular play. It matters. And we know it matters, because we hear about games like Jacksonville State that we played on short rest when they were off and how our guys were limping around all week and basically couldn't practice. If Virginia wins big against Liberty and their starters barely play a half, that matters. In terms of points, who knows. But yea, if we barely lose to Virginia by a couple points, then certainly shame on us. But this again misses the larger point - we shouldn't even have to worry about how many points this might be worth. It just shouldn't keep happening over and over and over. 6 of our 11 FBS games next year are against teams that either have the week off before us, or they play an FCS-like opponent. It just shouldn't happen. [/QUOTE]
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