RISP

[GTNavyNuke]

OK, not a lot to talk about so I'll resurrect this question I had. I'm trying to channel any #FredOptimism I can.

.......Here's a question that has been bothering me ...... I thought about making it a separate post ......

How much of our low hitting with RISP is bad luck and how much is the players choking and how much is coaching? Against the juggernaut known as Wake, we were .500 on Friday (5-10) with RISP. Saturday 1-10 (.100). Sunday 1-12 (.083). Weekend, 7-32 or .219. We have flat out sucked with RISP most of the year with that average being well below our non-RISP batting average.

Why?

I think it's mostly bad luck. And hopefully it will turn very soon!

In April I just heard on WREK that we batted a meek 265 overall. Our RISP average was worse at 213.

But from what I've read and had in mind when I originally posted was “The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball” 2006 edition. Chapter 4 “Clutch Hitting” makes the point for “clutch’ situations that hitting performance is highly random due to small sample size (my summary of 13 pages).

Then there are two other articles which update to 2013 and 2014 saying about the same thing:
https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/a-plea-to-stop-the-obsession-with-risp-batting-average/
https://www.fangraphs.com/community...-at-hitting-with-runners-in-scoring-position/

Now this is for MLB players and it may be different in the college game since the players aren't as proven. But there was no evidence of anything other than bad luck that I could find.

So it's time to break out!

 

[FredJacket]

OK, not a lot to talk about so I'll resurrect this question I had. I'm trying to channel any #FredOptimism I can.



I think it's mostly bad luck. And hopefully it will turn very soon!

In April I just heard on WREK that we batted a meek 265 overall. Our RISP average was worse at 213.

But from what I've read and had in mind when I originally posted was “The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball” 2006 edition. Chapter 4 “Clutch Hitting” makes the point for “clutch’ situations that hitting performance is highly random due to small sample size (my summary of 13 pages).

Then there are two other articles which update to 2013 and 2014 saying about the same thing:
https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/a-plea-to-stop-the-obsession-with-risp-batting-average/
https://www.fangraphs.com/community...-at-hitting-with-runners-in-scoring-position/

Now this is for MLB players and it may be different in the college game since the players aren't as proven. But there was no evidence of anything other than bad luck that I could find.

So it's time to break out!

Less important than getting to the bottom of it .... is that it is infuriating to ME to go through as fan of a team that can only succeed 20% of the time.

Seriously... I have no better explanation than it is just bad luck either. Seems that once it is in your head, though... you may press too much in those situations.

I'm writing this as we continue to struggle in this department v Radford early...after finals week (so...maybe that's mostly it today)

 

[GTNavyNuke]

Batted .364 tonight (4-11) RISP. Overall we were .390 tonight.

 

[alentrekin]

Ya, RISP was hotly debated with David Ortiz' contract -- with the consensus being they were just paying for the papi show, not anything real. I agree with The Book's analysis.

 

[65Jacket]

Our overall BA for April was .262, with RISP it was .219. Shameful!

 

[THWG]

Our overall BA for April was .262, with RISP it was .219. Shameful!

The biggest thing that I noticed is that English cooled off. He makes our offense go. Bart is a great player and deserves all the accolades, but when English is going, the offense really clicks.