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Ranking ACC Teams - 5 year Record
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<blockquote data-quote="slugboy" data-source="post: 434644" data-attributes="member: 282"><p>I looked at us against some other schools. </p><p>Breaking out OFEI and DEFI by year is a little weird right now, since the formula was updated for 2017. Here's OFEI for Tech, Duke, Miami, BC, and Clemson. Because the formula changed (or the formatting or something, idk), you get a big jump in 2017 for everyone.</p><p>[ATTACH=full]3674[/ATTACH]</p><p></p><p>If you take out 2017, the graph makes more sense, but you lose last year's data</p><p>[ATTACH=full]3673[/ATTACH]</p><p></p><p>If you want to compare two offenses, here we are against Louisville:</p><p>[ATTACH=full]3675[/ATTACH]</p><p></p><p>2014 was our 10-3 year, and it was really good. </p><p></p><p>Rankings are easier to look at, but they don't tell you when #11-#20 are only an eyelash apart from each other. </p><p>Here is our OFEI ranking against some ACC opponents:</p><p>[ATTACH=full]3676[/ATTACH]</p><p>2015 was awful (#85 offense). Mostly, we're in the 20's and 30's. 2014 was nice and low at #5 nationally. (And GT is in Gold). We weren't that bad on offense. </p><p>I compared us against military academies, since we're similar on Offense (and have been on defense).</p><p>[ATTACH=full]3677[/ATTACH]</p><p>Army has been getting better. Navy has been great. These should be normalized against strength of schedule. </p><p>And here we are against teams that air out the ball (UCF was one of the highest passing offenses last year)</p><p>[ATTACH=full]3678[/ATTACH]</p><p>So, going run-heavy isn't so bad a thing--we're usually really good. But there's one interesting stat from Football Outsiders--it's not that you "run to win", it's that when you're already winning you run the ball. Sometimes, you gotta pass to be in position to win the game.</p><p></p><p>On defense, I compared us to Flexbone teams to see if that affected your defensive rating. Sure seems to:</p><p>[ATTACH=full]3679[/ATTACH]</p><p>We're clustered in pretty tight.</p><p></p><p>Against ACC teams</p><p>[ATTACH=full]3680[/ATTACH]</p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Wow, Clemson's D is good, and Miami is improving on defense. </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Duke's offense isn't really much, but their defense has been improving for the last few years. </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Our defense is trending in the wrong direction and has been since 2007. </li> </ul><p>Here we are against more pass-happy teams:</p><p></p><p></p><p>[ATTACH=full]3681[/ATTACH]</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="slugboy, post: 434644, member: 282"] I looked at us against some other schools. Breaking out OFEI and DEFI by year is a little weird right now, since the formula was updated for 2017. Here's OFEI for Tech, Duke, Miami, BC, and Clemson. Because the formula changed (or the formatting or something, idk), you get a big jump in 2017 for everyone. [ATTACH=full]3674[/ATTACH] If you take out 2017, the graph makes more sense, but you lose last year's data [ATTACH=full]3673[/ATTACH] If you want to compare two offenses, here we are against Louisville: [ATTACH=full]3675[/ATTACH] 2014 was our 10-3 year, and it was really good. Rankings are easier to look at, but they don't tell you when #11-#20 are only an eyelash apart from each other. Here is our OFEI ranking against some ACC opponents: [ATTACH=full]3676[/ATTACH] 2015 was awful (#85 offense). Mostly, we're in the 20's and 30's. 2014 was nice and low at #5 nationally. (And GT is in Gold). We weren't that bad on offense. I compared us against military academies, since we're similar on Offense (and have been on defense). [ATTACH=full]3677[/ATTACH] Army has been getting better. Navy has been great. These should be normalized against strength of schedule. And here we are against teams that air out the ball (UCF was one of the highest passing offenses last year) [ATTACH=full]3678[/ATTACH] So, going run-heavy isn't so bad a thing--we're usually really good. But there's one interesting stat from Football Outsiders--it's not that you "run to win", it's that when you're already winning you run the ball. Sometimes, you gotta pass to be in position to win the game. On defense, I compared us to Flexbone teams to see if that affected your defensive rating. Sure seems to: [ATTACH=full]3679[/ATTACH] We're clustered in pretty tight. Against ACC teams [ATTACH=full]3680[/ATTACH] [LIST] [*]Wow, Clemson's D is good, and Miami is improving on defense. [*]Duke's offense isn't really much, but their defense has been improving for the last few years. [*]Our defense is trending in the wrong direction and has been since 2007. [/LIST] Here we are against more pass-happy teams: [ATTACH=full]3681[/ATTACH] [/QUOTE]
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