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Program in Decline-Why?
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<blockquote data-quote="GTNavyNuke" data-source="post: 153369" data-attributes="member: 322"><p>First, here are the RPIs which show a program in decline …… but only for this year. And as [USER=443]@awbuzz[/USER] said, the wins or in this case the RPIs are heavily skewed by end of season play. At the end of the season you play better teams and that helps the RPI a lot.</p><p>2010-2011 11</p><p>2011-2012 10</p><p>2012-2013 19</p><p>2013-2014 20</p><p>2014-2015 38 and dropping</p><p></p><p>Back in post #5 I said I thought these were the reasons for our poor play this year.</p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>Pitching</strong> - we get projects who we develop and then they bolt to the pros. <em>I will not beat up on pitching any more. But that is by far the biggest reason IMHO. </em></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>Elite players go in the draft</strong> rather than come to GT. <em>I think I showed that is the case in the post <a href="https://gtswarm.com/threads/2015-mlb-draft-8-10-june.6859/" target="_blank">https://gtswarm.com/threads/2015-mlb-draft-8-10-june.6859/</a> not only for GT but all colleges. The top 100 HS players just don’t go to college. But there is selection bias, and we need to figure out how to get the Kel Johnsons who want to go to a college and thus aren’t drafted.</em></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Too much <strong>in state focus in recruiting</strong>, we need to go further abroad to get elite players who will stick with GT. We have the best program over the last 5 years in the state of Georgia I think. <em>For this one, I can see how the scholarship limit really hurts. The rest of the discussion really put this in focus about how it may be a reality for public schools. If you are out of state GT is about 3 times more expensive. Thus if you only get 1/3 of a scholarship, that really hurts. In the post on the MLB draft , I think I showed that we are the elite school for baseball in Georgia. Given the “small” size of Georgia compared to Florida or Texas or California, I can see why the elite schools in those states do well.</em></li> </ul><p>But thinking about it, I wanted to add one more:</p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>Youth. </strong> What really bothers me is how BAD we were on the road, so I wanted to blame it on youth. 9-13 away, including the season defining disaster of the BC sweep. Yes we had away appearances (I refuse to say we played) at our toughest series of Louisville and Miami, but not counting those we were 9-7. 2-2 at neutral sites. At home we were pretty good … 21-8.</li> </ul> <ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">But looking at the roster that doesn’t hold up too well since only Bailey and Kel were Fr with significant contributions. But from sophomores, we had Ryan, Innis, Peurifoy, Pabst, Gold, Justus contributing a lot. I don’t know the cause, but we didn’t travel well.</li> </ul><p><strong>Next year will all depend on how our pitchers, both King and Ryan as well as incoming FR, are drafted. Whether we have a program in decline or just a bad year, only </strong><span style="font-size: 10px">time</span><strong> the draft will tell. </strong></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTNavyNuke, post: 153369, member: 322"] First, here are the RPIs which show a program in decline …… but only for this year. And as [USER=443]@awbuzz[/USER] said, the wins or in this case the RPIs are heavily skewed by end of season play. At the end of the season you play better teams and that helps the RPI a lot. 2010-2011 11 2011-2012 10 2012-2013 19 2013-2014 20 2014-2015 38 and dropping Back in post #5 I said I thought these were the reasons for our poor play this year. [LIST] [*][B]Pitching[/B] - we get projects who we develop and then they bolt to the pros. [I]I will not beat up on pitching any more. But that is by far the biggest reason IMHO. [/I] [*][B]Elite players go in the draft[/B] rather than come to GT. [I]I think I showed that is the case in the post [URL]https://gtswarm.com/threads/2015-mlb-draft-8-10-june.6859/[/URL] not only for GT but all colleges. The top 100 HS players just don’t go to college. But there is selection bias, and we need to figure out how to get the Kel Johnsons who want to go to a college and thus aren’t drafted.[/I] [*]Too much [B]in state focus in recruiting[/B], we need to go further abroad to get elite players who will stick with GT. We have the best program over the last 5 years in the state of Georgia I think. [I]For this one, I can see how the scholarship limit really hurts. The rest of the discussion really put this in focus about how it may be a reality for public schools. If you are out of state GT is about 3 times more expensive. Thus if you only get 1/3 of a scholarship, that really hurts. In the post on the MLB draft , I think I showed that we are the elite school for baseball in Georgia. Given the “small” size of Georgia compared to Florida or Texas or California, I can see why the elite schools in those states do well.[/I] [/LIST] But thinking about it, I wanted to add one more: [LIST] [*][B]Youth. [/B] What really bothers me is how BAD we were on the road, so I wanted to blame it on youth. 9-13 away, including the season defining disaster of the BC sweep. Yes we had away appearances (I refuse to say we played) at our toughest series of Louisville and Miami, but not counting those we were 9-7. 2-2 at neutral sites. At home we were pretty good … 21-8. [/LIST] [LIST] [*]But looking at the roster that doesn’t hold up too well since only Bailey and Kel were Fr with significant contributions. But from sophomores, we had Ryan, Innis, Peurifoy, Pabst, Gold, Justus contributing a lot. I don’t know the cause, but we didn’t travel well. [/LIST] [B]Next year will all depend on how our pitchers, both King and Ryan as well as incoming FR, are drafted. Whether we have a program in decline or just a bad year, only [/B][SIZE=2]time[/SIZE][B] the draft will tell. [/B] [/QUOTE]
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