AE 87
Helluva Engineer
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Last year, we ended the post season averaging 3.52 points per drive vs Pwr 5 opp, and allowing 2.46. However, if we look at just the last few games of last year:
vs UGA (w/o Overtime & Off doesn't get credit for Def FumRet TD)
Off PPD = 2.67 (3.44 w/credit for JT's TD)
Def PPD = 2.42
vs FSU
Off PPD = 3.89
Def PPD = 4.11
vs MissST
Off PPD = 4.45
Def PPD = 2.83
Now, over the last two games, we've had an off ppd of 5.38 and 5.72, which includes the significant substitution at the end. The only drives we failed to score a TD with our expected regular offense were the fumbles by MM vs Alcorn and Snoop vs Tulane, plus the punt vs Tulane. Our Def PPD is obviously less than 1 for both games.
At this point, we rely on significant conjecture, but it seems to me that we are much nearer end of last season form than beginning on offense and that our Defense is much improved.
ND's O scored about 3.1 ppd vs Tx and about 2.8 ppd vs UVA. In 2014, Tx was #7 in ppd allowed vs pwr 5 at 1.59 and UVA was #9 at 1.67. While it's possible that both D's are much worse this year, these numbers still suggest that ND has a formidable offense. Their D is tough to evaluate because they shut down TX but let UVA stay in the game.
With these numbers in mind, I think some reasonable benchmarks for the ND game are as follows:
................ Ouch ........ Whoops ............ OK .............WhooHoo
Offense: ..... 2.2 ............ 2.7 ................... 3.2 .............. 3.5
Defense: .... 3.5 .............3.2 ................... 2.7 .............. 2.2
vs UGA (w/o Overtime & Off doesn't get credit for Def FumRet TD)
Off PPD = 2.67 (3.44 w/credit for JT's TD)
Def PPD = 2.42
vs FSU
Off PPD = 3.89
Def PPD = 4.11
vs MissST
Off PPD = 4.45
Def PPD = 2.83
Now, over the last two games, we've had an off ppd of 5.38 and 5.72, which includes the significant substitution at the end. The only drives we failed to score a TD with our expected regular offense were the fumbles by MM vs Alcorn and Snoop vs Tulane, plus the punt vs Tulane. Our Def PPD is obviously less than 1 for both games.
At this point, we rely on significant conjecture, but it seems to me that we are much nearer end of last season form than beginning on offense and that our Defense is much improved.
ND's O scored about 3.1 ppd vs Tx and about 2.8 ppd vs UVA. In 2014, Tx was #7 in ppd allowed vs pwr 5 at 1.59 and UVA was #9 at 1.67. While it's possible that both D's are much worse this year, these numbers still suggest that ND has a formidable offense. Their D is tough to evaluate because they shut down TX but let UVA stay in the game.
With these numbers in mind, I think some reasonable benchmarks for the ND game are as follows:
................ Ouch ........ Whoops ............ OK .............WhooHoo
Offense: ..... 2.2 ............ 2.7 ................... 3.2 .............. 3.5
Defense: .... 3.5 .............3.2 ................... 2.7 .............. 2.2
