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Ole Miss @ GT
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<blockquote data-quote="slugboy" data-source="post: 892051" data-attributes="member: 282"><p>For you analytics people, SP+ has</p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Ole Miss projected to win by a margin of 27.5 with 94% odds of winning</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">The latest spread is Ole Miss -16, so they're also forecasting Ole Miss to beat the spread</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Over/Under is 61.5. The projected total is 4 points UNDER that, so they forecast the UNDER.</li> </ul><p>Not a surprise, the analytics did not like us last year, and we haven't done anything earthshattering in the first two games to change the numbers.</p><p></p><p>----</p><p>In non-numbers terms, we need to tackle well to handle their running backs. I don't want to see them getting loose or breaking a lot of tackles. </p><p></p><p>Also, while I think we need to watch out for Trigg (their TE) and Mingo (WR), Ole Miss spreads the ball out. If we have a weak link in pass coverage, Ole Miss will hammer it by shifting to get the matchups they want, or just hitting their #3 receiver. Our LBs and secondary need to bring their A++ game. </p><p></p><p>I haven't looked at their defense yet, but we really need to get first downs this week, and Sims needs to play the game of his life.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="slugboy, post: 892051, member: 282"] For you analytics people, SP+ has [LIST] [*]Ole Miss projected to win by a margin of 27.5 with 94% odds of winning [*]The latest spread is Ole Miss -16, so they're also forecasting Ole Miss to beat the spread [*]Over/Under is 61.5. The projected total is 4 points UNDER that, so they forecast the UNDER. [/LIST] Not a surprise, the analytics did not like us last year, and we haven't done anything earthshattering in the first two games to change the numbers. ---- In non-numbers terms, we need to tackle well to handle their running backs. I don't want to see them getting loose or breaking a lot of tackles. Also, while I think we need to watch out for Trigg (their TE) and Mingo (WR), Ole Miss spreads the ball out. If we have a weak link in pass coverage, Ole Miss will hammer it by shifting to get the matchups they want, or just hitting their #3 receiver. Our LBs and secondary need to bring their A++ game. I haven't looked at their defense yet, but we really need to get first downs this week, and Sims needs to play the game of his life. [/QUOTE]
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