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Official Ted Roof Discussion Thread
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<blockquote data-quote="GTNavyNuke" data-source="post: 328051" data-attributes="member: 322"><p>OK, I waded through all 13 pages in the last two days of this stuff. First, I'll take [USER=628]@33jacket[/USER] up on predictions: I think our D will be rated 75th by FEI*, 59th by S&P** and our D Line*** 93rd. That's the average over the last three years. Till we are better, I won't expect anything better.</p><p></p><p>The FEI is the number I threw out a few days ago where we were 94th (of 128) last year. That's down from 84th and 82nd the previous two years. So worse. </p><p></p><p>Another way Football Outsiders measures team performance is the S&P+. By that measure we were 57th last year after being 66th in 2014 and 55th in 2015. So about the same.</p><p></p><p>But the reason we are so weak on D overall is our DL was 114th out of 128 last year. Dismal and a lot worse than 82nd in 2014 and 84th in 2015. But we already knew that from the loss of Gotsis. Hopefully, Adams & Cerge-Henderson & Freeman & Glanton have break out years.</p><p></p><p>BTW, I like Roof and had hoped he would be our next head coach. But last year put that hope on hold.</p><p></p><p><span style="font-size: 9px">* <a href="http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/feidef" target="_blank">http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/feidef</a> FEI is a college football rating system based on opponent-adjusted drive efficiency. Approximately 20,000 possessions are contested annually in FBS vs. FBS games. First-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores are filtered out. Defensive Efficiency (DE) is the value generated by a team's defense per non-garbage possession relative to national average scoring rates by starting field position. DFEI is value generated per possession adjusted for the strength of opponent offenses faced.</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 9px">** <a href="http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ncaadef" target="_blank">http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ncaadef</a> The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from the play-by-play data of all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays). As of January 2015, S&P+ ratings are based around the core concepts of the Five Factors: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, finishing drives, and turnovers.</span></p><p><span style="font-size: 9px">*** <a href="http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ncaadl" target="_blank">http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ncaadl</a> Pulling the ideas mostly from Football Outsiders’ pro stats, below are the following defensive line stats for each of FBS' 128 schools. Based on run-blocking and pass-blocking.</span></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTNavyNuke, post: 328051, member: 322"] OK, I waded through all 13 pages in the last two days of this stuff. First, I'll take [USER=628]@33jacket[/USER] up on predictions: I think our D will be rated 75th by FEI*, 59th by S&P** and our D Line*** 93rd. That's the average over the last three years. Till we are better, I won't expect anything better. The FEI is the number I threw out a few days ago where we were 94th (of 128) last year. That's down from 84th and 82nd the previous two years. So worse. Another way Football Outsiders measures team performance is the S&P+. By that measure we were 57th last year after being 66th in 2014 and 55th in 2015. So about the same. But the reason we are so weak on D overall is our DL was 114th out of 128 last year. Dismal and a lot worse than 82nd in 2014 and 84th in 2015. But we already knew that from the loss of Gotsis. Hopefully, Adams & Cerge-Henderson & Freeman & Glanton have break out years. BTW, I like Roof and had hoped he would be our next head coach. But last year put that hope on hold. [SIZE=1]* [URL]http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/feidef[/URL] FEI is a college football rating system based on opponent-adjusted drive efficiency. Approximately 20,000 possessions are contested annually in FBS vs. FBS games. First-half clock-kills and end-of-game garbage drives and scores are filtered out. Defensive Efficiency (DE) is the value generated by a team's defense per non-garbage possession relative to national average scoring rates by starting field position. DFEI is value generated per possession adjusted for the strength of opponent offenses faced. ** [URL]http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ncaadef[/URL] The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from the play-by-play data of all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays). As of January 2015, S&P+ ratings are based around the core concepts of the Five Factors: efficiency, explosiveness, field position, finishing drives, and turnovers. *** [URL]http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/ncaadl[/URL] Pulling the ideas mostly from Football Outsiders’ pro stats, below are the following defensive line stats for each of FBS' 128 schools. Based on run-blocking and pass-blocking.[/SIZE] [/QUOTE]
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