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Most likely wins this year
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<blockquote data-quote="BuzzDraft" data-source="post: 892520" data-attributes="member: 2812"><p>This is a pretty reasonable analysis of the probabilities of the remaining 10 games after the first two. Major injuries can of course change the outlook, and more results will change the model as more actual data comes in. I wrote before the season the most likely wins, in order, were WCU, Duke, UVa, and VaPoly. After the WCU win is in the books, the Binion Index holds the same view, except I think VaPoly will somehow end up as our annual lone road win and Tech finishes 4-8</p><p></p><p><img src="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/-H8hjxMDSIarmhZIJ87qtJ9-auI=/0x0:3000x2100/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2100):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24016878/gt_win_prob_by_game_22.png" alt="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/-H8hjxMDSIarmhZIJ87qtJ9-auI=/0x0:3000x2100/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2100):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24016878/gt_win_prob_by_game_22.png" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="BuzzDraft, post: 892520, member: 2812"] This is a pretty reasonable analysis of the probabilities of the remaining 10 games after the first two. Major injuries can of course change the outlook, and more results will change the model as more actual data comes in. I wrote before the season the most likely wins, in order, were WCU, Duke, UVa, and VaPoly. After the WCU win is in the books, the Binion Index holds the same view, except I think VaPoly will somehow end up as our annual lone road win and Tech finishes 4-8 [IMG alt="https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/-H8hjxMDSIarmhZIJ87qtJ9-auI=/0x0:3000x2100/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2100):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24016878/gt_win_prob_by_game_22.png"]https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/-H8hjxMDSIarmhZIJ87qtJ9-auI=/0x0:3000x2100/920x0/filters:focal(0x0:3000x2100):format(webp):no_upscale()/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_asset/file/24016878/gt_win_prob_by_game_22.png[/IMG] [/QUOTE]
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