@Miami Baseball (Poll)

How many games will GT win @Miami?

  • Total voters
    44
  • Poll closed .
GTNavyNuke

GTNavyNuke

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Weather looks good for all three days. 8pm, 4pm, 1pm.

Here are their 5 ACC series looking backwards 2-1 Duke, 2-1 @Pitt, 1-2 @UNC, 1-2 FSU, 0-3 @Wake. So they are trending up. They have not done that well against Quad 1 and 2 teams overall (9-15) but as I said, they are trending up.

For season, we are better. 1 versus 15 in ACC batting, 3 versus 11 pitching and 7 versus 13 fielding.

So I'll take us winning 2 this weekend again. Has worked the last 3 ...... I feel like putting the over under at 30 runs since some of you would take it .........

1744802876899.png
 
78pike

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Looking at their arms the following guys appear to have most of their starts:
Robert 2-4 7.14 ERA
Lumpkin 3-2 5.70 ERA
Hugus 4-4 4.11 ERA
Walters 2-2 5.45 ERA
I'm guessing Hugus will be the Friday starter with Walters and Lumpkin getting the other two starts.

DeRias and Ciscar look like they are the top two relievers with ERA's of 2.59 and 4.94 respectively.

As far as the bats go, Derek Williams is tops in average and home runs with .345 and 8. It looks like they have 3 other regulars that hit over .300. They don't appear to be a big homer hitting team with 46 on the season.
 

bensaysitathome

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Their overall resume is unimpressive - a losing record for Q1 and Q2 games. But their conference schedule started out rough. Wake, FSU, and UNC (combined to go 2-7) then they lighten up against Pitt and Duke (combined 4-2).

Point is, I think they beat the teams they should beat and lose to the teams they should lose to. Think Chan Gailey Football. Maybe not a tournament team, but good enough to beat a good team when they're caught napping.

I think we'll take 2, but I don't see a sweep here.
 

bensaysitathome

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GTNavyNuke said:
Weather looks good for all three days. 8pm, 4pm, 1pm.

Here are their 5 ACC series looking backwards 2-1 Duke, 2-1 @Pitt, 1-2 @UNC, 1-2 FSU, 0-3 @Wake. So they are trending up. They have not done that well against Quad 1 and 2 teams overall (9-15) but as I said, they are trending up.

For season, we are better. 1 versus 15 in ACC batting, 3 versus 11 pitching and 7 versus 13 fielding.

So I'll take us winning 2 this weekend again. Has worked the last 3 ...... I feel like putting the over under at 30 runs since some of you would take it .........

View attachment 18174
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I overlooked your near identical analysis on their schedule so far. I guess we agree :)
 
GTNavyNuke

GTNavyNuke

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I'm looking forward to the next game. After a loss, the next game can't come soon enough. This year we have be spoiled with fewer losses (so far, past performance is no guarantee of future performance). (Trying to stay away from the @FredJacket hex.)
 

GT33

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GTNavyNuke said:
I'm looking forward to the next game. After a loss, the next game can't come soon enough. This year we have be spoiled with fewer losses (so far, past performance is no guarantee of future performance). (Trying to stay away from the @FredJacket hex.)
Click to expand...
This series is going to be tough. We have not done well there in over a decade.
 
GTNavyNuke

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DecaturJacket said:
Yeah, I think we're still an above (though an obviously much closer to) average lineup without Lodise, but with him we're competing for the best in the country. Throw in Schmidt if he ever comes back and we have as good of a case as anybody.
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I've taken Lodise back in into account in my poll guess. If I had known he'd be back, I'd have put the setpoint a run or two higher for GT. Like 28.5 which is a terribly arrogant high assumption but our offense can do that. And I expect Lodise to take a game or two to get back in the groove. I wouldn't put him high in the line up just coming back......... but the coaches may sometimes know a bit more than me.

Any word on Schmidt? I'm getting the "feeling" he'll be back for L'Ville in three weeks for sure and maybe Western Carolina to get him some live reps.

Burress resurrection this weekend. Bet on it :)
 
DecaturJacket

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GTNavyNuke said:
I've taken Lodise back in into account in my poll guess. If I had known he'd be back, I'd have put the setpoint a run or two higher for GT. Like 28.5 which is a terribly arrogant high assumption but our offense can do that. And I expect Lodise to take a game or two to get back in the groove. I wouldn't put him high in the line up just coming back......... but the coaches may sometimes know a bit more than me.

Any word on Schmidt? I'm getting the "feeling" he'll be back for L'Ville in three weeks for sure and maybe Western Carolina to get him some live reps.

Burress resurrection this weekend. Bet on it :)
Click to expand...

Vegas doesn't get to move the line on bets already placed!

I haven't seen/heard anything about Schmidt recently. Anybody been around and seen whether he's out of the boot yet or not?
 
GTNavyNuke

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DecaturJacket said:
Vegas doesn't get to move the line on bets already placed!

I haven't seen/heard anything about Schmidt recently. Anybody been around and seen whether he's out of the boot yet or not?
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There was this last Saturday:
randerto said:
CDH said after the game this evening Lodise is day-to-day and should be back soon. He said Lodise thinks he's ready to play now but the coaching staff wants him healthy for the rest of the season so are being more cautious. He also said Schmidt is now at least walking again but will be out for "a while longer" - believe it is a foot injury (maybe sprained ankle or broken toe?) - sounds like at least a couple more weeks with him...
Click to expand...
 
GTNavyNuke

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DecaturJacket said:
From d1b - bottom green/orange/red numbers are game scores from the 3 most recent games for those players:

View attachment 18190
Click to expand...

What does 42, 36, 56 mean for Tate McKee?

Their pitchers have low WHIPs and higher ERAs. Continuing the discussion from last week, some value WHIP more than ERA for a pitcher. Defense plays a part in keeping the ERA down for higher WHIPs but that can only go so far.
 
DecaturJacket

DecaturJacket

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GTNavyNuke said:
What does 42, 36, 56 mean for Tate McKee?

Their pitchers have low WHIPs and higher ERAs. Continuing the discussion from last week, some value WHIP more than ERA for a pitcher. Defense plays a part in keeping the ERA down for higher WHIPs but that can only go so far.
Click to expand...

Those are game scores.

Game Score is a stat created by Bill James that “measures a pitcher’s performance in any given game started.” You can read more about that here.
Click to expand...

Game Score formula (updated by Tom Tango)

• Start with 40 points
• Add 2 points for each out recorded (or 6 points per inning)
• Add 1 additional point for every strikeout
• Remove 2 points for each walk allowed
• Remove 2 points for each hit allowed
• Remove 3 points for each run allowed (earned or unearned)
• Remove 6 additional points for each home run allowed
 

bensaysitathome

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DecaturJacket said:
Those are game scores.



Game Score formula (updated by Tom Tango)

• Start with 40 points
• Add 2 points for each out recorded (or 6 points per inning)
• Add 1 additional point for every strikeout
• Remove 2 points for each walk allowed
• Remove 2 points for each hit allowed
• Remove 3 points for each run allowed (earned or unearned)
• Remove 6 additional points for each home run allowed
Click to expand...
This is interesting to see the breakdown. By no means a perfect metric, but a good placeholder for someone that doesn't want to go back and watch the last 3 starts for every starting Miami pitcher :)
 
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