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Latest Line Move on GT/Clem
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<blockquote data-quote="CuseJacket" data-source="post: 617229" data-attributes="member: 274"><p>I get what you're saying and only disagree on one point. Just because Clemson beat Bama by 4 TD, does not mean Clemson would be favored by 4 TD against Bama if they played the game back the very next week, let alone the next year. Bama was favored. More than likely the championship game outcome only moves the needle 7 points at most, and that would be wild in and of itself.</p><p></p><p>Yea, Clemson's DL this year is my point re: their unknowns. I agree Clemson's new DL would be a strength everywhere. But I do think OL vs. DL is the most important factor in determining the outcome of a game, and I think playing experience is important even for top end talent. Add in first game in a while unpredictability, and weird things happen (potentially to our detriment, I get it).</p><p></p><p>Re: the safety net scenario, even in most blow-out scenarios, I can see Clemson easing in Q4 for a variety of reasons. And we allegedly have 3 QBs who are capable of playing and will play to the final whistle. I definitely think the Louisville example from last year is exactly the exception to the rule of reasonable spreads, given how terrible they were. We'll see. Vegas is usually smarter than me, and so I recognize there's a good chance of that being true this time as well.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="CuseJacket, post: 617229, member: 274"] I get what you're saying and only disagree on one point. Just because Clemson beat Bama by 4 TD, does not mean Clemson would be favored by 4 TD against Bama if they played the game back the very next week, let alone the next year. Bama was favored. More than likely the championship game outcome only moves the needle 7 points at most, and that would be wild in and of itself. Yea, Clemson's DL this year is my point re: their unknowns. I agree Clemson's new DL would be a strength everywhere. But I do think OL vs. DL is the most important factor in determining the outcome of a game, and I think playing experience is important even for top end talent. Add in first game in a while unpredictability, and weird things happen (potentially to our detriment, I get it). Re: the safety net scenario, even in most blow-out scenarios, I can see Clemson easing in Q4 for a variety of reasons. And we allegedly have 3 QBs who are capable of playing and will play to the final whistle. I definitely think the Louisville example from last year is exactly the exception to the rule of reasonable spreads, given how terrible they were. We'll see. Vegas is usually smarter than me, and so I recognize there's a good chance of that being true this time as well. [/QUOTE]
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