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Judith Curry questions recent popular & peer-reviewed Global Warming Report
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<blockquote data-quote="cyptomcat" data-source="post: 139373" data-attributes="member: 323"><p>The new Science article by Steinman, Mann and Miller is not exactly a report in the sense that a committee came together and produced some sort of consensus document (as in IPCC reports). This is just a new paper by Steinman et al.</p><p></p><p>The media articles are for sure horrible, unfortunately that's far too common. Especially about this new paper being novel or suddenly explaining everything...</p><p></p><p>Curry herself introduced the basis of this 'new' explanation in 2013. Her work with Wyatt brought the idea of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) to prominence. </p><p></p><p>In layman's terms, what it boils down to is that a lot of the climate models treat some of the temperature variation as noise (sometimes up, sometimes down, unpredictably varying in short terms.) Wyatt and Curry suggested that it's an oscillation that is more predictable than previously thought.</p><p></p><p>It seems like Mann published a new perspective on this; but, according to Curry, Mann used some wrong assumptions in their study.</p><p></p><p>An important feature of all this is that both Curry's and Mann's climate works say that global warming is expected to speed up sooner or later (compared to last decade or so.) We just have to wait a few decades to find out. <img src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" class="smilie smilie--sprite smilie--sprite7" alt=":p" title="Stick Out Tongue :p" loading="lazy" data-shortname=":p" /></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="cyptomcat, post: 139373, member: 323"] The new Science article by Steinman, Mann and Miller is not exactly a report in the sense that a committee came together and produced some sort of consensus document (as in IPCC reports). This is just a new paper by Steinman et al. The media articles are for sure horrible, unfortunately that's far too common. Especially about this new paper being novel or suddenly explaining everything... Curry herself introduced the basis of this 'new' explanation in 2013. Her work with Wyatt brought the idea of Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) to prominence. In layman's terms, what it boils down to is that a lot of the climate models treat some of the temperature variation as noise (sometimes up, sometimes down, unpredictably varying in short terms.) Wyatt and Curry suggested that it's an oscillation that is more predictable than previously thought. It seems like Mann published a new perspective on this; but, according to Curry, Mann used some wrong assumptions in their study. An important feature of all this is that both Curry's and Mann's climate works say that global warming is expected to speed up sooner or later (compared to last decade or so.) We just have to wait a few decades to find out. :P [/QUOTE]
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