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<blockquote data-quote="takethepoints" data-source="post: 892470" data-attributes="member: 265"><p>Yes. I've seen this in my work too. The problem comes when you get leaders who are more interested in their own power than in realistic goal fulfillment. You can get some real distortions cropping up when that happens. At my college we had an analyst who made regular predictions of freshman enrollment based on a rather simple regression model. He was always close to the actual number. But our president was interested in "managing by goals" and set enrollment goals that increased every year. Problem = there was no reason to believe that we could do that and we never did. My friend the analyst kept pointing this out and he got more and more on the outs as a result. And his predictions continued to be right. And the budgets put together on the goals led to yearly shortfalls. And to yearly spontaneous, non-data driven decisions about programs and personnel arbitrarily made by our president. And the analyst left rater then put up with it further.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="takethepoints, post: 892470, member: 265"] Yes. I've seen this in my work too. The problem comes when you get leaders who are more interested in their own power than in realistic goal fulfillment. You can get some real distortions cropping up when that happens. At my college we had an analyst who made regular predictions of freshman enrollment based on a rather simple regression model. He was always close to the actual number. But our president was interested in "managing by goals" and set enrollment goals that increased every year. Problem = there was no reason to believe that we could do that and we never did. My friend the analyst kept pointing this out and he got more and more on the outs as a result. And his predictions continued to be right. And the budgets put together on the goals led to yearly shortfalls. And to yearly spontaneous, non-data driven decisions about programs and personnel arbitrarily made by our president. And the analyst left rater then put up with it further. [/QUOTE]
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