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GT 7.5 Home Dog to UCF
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<blockquote data-quote="lv20gt" data-source="post: 744225" data-attributes="member: 2299"><p>I'd probably put UCF as about a TD favorite at the moment. Last year they went 10-3 and while that was playing in a weaker conference. One thing that bloats their record a little isn't that they were playing in the AAC. It's they avoided Navy, Memphis, and SMU. Basically, the AAC had some pretty good teams, but UCF only really played Cincy who they lost to close on the road. In the OOC they did hold their own against an 8 win Pitt team on the road, but Pitt was a midlevel coastal team. Basically, last year UCF didn't really have much of a chance to prove themselves which isn't entirely in their control, but to me it does lend itself to not viewing them as I would a 10 win ACC team. </p><p></p><p>The reason I give them a TD lead right now is that they are a proven quality team. For the most part they beat the teams they were supposed to and at least competitive against the better teams on their schedule. GT looked good against FSU, and it wouldn't surprise me if GT made a big jump this year, but it also wouldn't surprise me if we have more issues this year than those that showed themselves against FSU. I'm still skeptical about our line play despite them playing well against FSU for the most part, and I will need more than one good, although not great (in terms of just play not accounting for his inexperience), game from a true freshman. There were games last year, @UVA, NCSU, Miami. But those were the best showings. Not the average play. I have no idea what FSU will be when the season ends. Maybe it's our best game. Maybe it's our worst. It's probably somewhere in between. If I am going to knock UCF for not really proving it on the field against higher level teams last year then I'm not going to draw sweeping conclusions about our improved play just from one game either.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="lv20gt, post: 744225, member: 2299"] I'd probably put UCF as about a TD favorite at the moment. Last year they went 10-3 and while that was playing in a weaker conference. One thing that bloats their record a little isn't that they were playing in the AAC. It's they avoided Navy, Memphis, and SMU. Basically, the AAC had some pretty good teams, but UCF only really played Cincy who they lost to close on the road. In the OOC they did hold their own against an 8 win Pitt team on the road, but Pitt was a midlevel coastal team. Basically, last year UCF didn't really have much of a chance to prove themselves which isn't entirely in their control, but to me it does lend itself to not viewing them as I would a 10 win ACC team. The reason I give them a TD lead right now is that they are a proven quality team. For the most part they beat the teams they were supposed to and at least competitive against the better teams on their schedule. GT looked good against FSU, and it wouldn't surprise me if GT made a big jump this year, but it also wouldn't surprise me if we have more issues this year than those that showed themselves against FSU. I'm still skeptical about our line play despite them playing well against FSU for the most part, and I will need more than one good, although not great (in terms of just play not accounting for his inexperience), game from a true freshman. There were games last year, @UVA, NCSU, Miami. But those were the best showings. Not the average play. I have no idea what FSU will be when the season ends. Maybe it's our best game. Maybe it's our worst. It's probably somewhere in between. If I am going to knock UCF for not really proving it on the field against higher level teams last year then I'm not going to draw sweeping conclusions about our improved play just from one game either. [/QUOTE]
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