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GT (-5) vs. VT
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<blockquote data-quote="GTRX7" data-source="post: 191791" data-attributes="member: 1045"><p>I would say a few things. First, my points above were really about the opening line. I agree, once the line it set, changes to the line all about where the betting is actually occurring. That is because they then have real betting data and don't need to make assumptions anymore. However, for the opening line, Vegas has to make assumptions as to how the public will bet. What is expected to actually take place on the field is the overwhelming majority as to what goes into this calculation for 95+% of games without some strange story line. </p><p></p><p>And I think you have your conclusion from the line move backwards, right? The fact that the line moved towards VT means that not enough people were betting on GT. It means that GT was set as too high a favorite. In other words, the betting public did not believe that GT could win by 3.5 and Vegas thus had to move the line down to 3 to try to even out the betting and get more betting on GT. I think that is right, correct?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTRX7, post: 191791, member: 1045"] I would say a few things. First, my points above were really about the opening line. I agree, once the line it set, changes to the line all about where the betting is actually occurring. That is because they then have real betting data and don't need to make assumptions anymore. However, for the opening line, Vegas has to make assumptions as to how the public will bet. What is expected to actually take place on the field is the overwhelming majority as to what goes into this calculation for 95+% of games without some strange story line. And I think you have your conclusion from the line move backwards, right? The fact that the line moved towards VT means that not enough people were betting on GT. It means that GT was set as too high a favorite. In other words, the betting public did not believe that GT could win by 3.5 and Vegas thus had to move the line down to 3 to try to even out the betting and get more betting on GT. I think that is right, correct? [/QUOTE]
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