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GT (-5) vs. VT
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<blockquote data-quote="GTRX7" data-source="post: 191646" data-attributes="member: 1045"><p>Okay, I get that, but doesn't that sort of miss the point of the thread? If I understand what you are saying, your point is that Vegas wants even money on each side of the line. Thus, they will set the line where they think it will actually be, unless they have some reason to believe that betters have a disproportionate perception of the strengths of the teams that does not match up with reality. For example, fans of teams like ND football or UK basketball may not be rational and may over-bet on their teams doing better than they should. Thus, Vegas has to move the line more in favor of those teams to even out betting on each side.</p><p></p><p>In this case, however, Vegas has set the line with Georgia Tech favored! Does anyone really believe that the public is so bullish on how great Georgia Tech football is right now that Vegas had to move the line to favor Georgia Tech just to even out the money to account for all those folks expected to irrationally bet on Georgia Tech? Heck, I am a HUGE Georgia Tech fan and I can't say I am optimistic about this game at all.</p><p></p><p>I guess that it is possible they think VT fans are irrationally negative about their team, but they won their last game and have dominated the series with us. If I had to guess, I bet VT fans in general are feeling much better about their team in this game than we are about ours.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTRX7, post: 191646, member: 1045"] Okay, I get that, but doesn't that sort of miss the point of the thread? If I understand what you are saying, your point is that Vegas wants even money on each side of the line. Thus, they will set the line where they think it will actually be, unless they have some reason to believe that betters have a disproportionate perception of the strengths of the teams that does not match up with reality. For example, fans of teams like ND football or UK basketball may not be rational and may over-bet on their teams doing better than they should. Thus, Vegas has to move the line more in favor of those teams to even out betting on each side. In this case, however, Vegas has set the line with Georgia Tech favored! Does anyone really believe that the public is so bullish on how great Georgia Tech football is right now that Vegas had to move the line to favor Georgia Tech just to even out the money to account for all those folks expected to irrationally bet on Georgia Tech? Heck, I am a HUGE Georgia Tech fan and I can't say I am optimistic about this game at all. I guess that it is possible they think VT fans are irrationally negative about their team, but they won their last game and have dominated the series with us. If I had to guess, I bet VT fans in general are feeling much better about their team in this game than we are about ours. [/QUOTE]
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GT (-5) vs. VT
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