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College football is a mess
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<blockquote data-quote="RamblinRed" data-source="post: 998125" data-attributes="member: 1776"><p>I agree with this. If UNC leaves that is when the ACC dies. </p><p>If UNC left I would expect UVA to follow them.</p><p></p><p>FWIW, my understanding is that ESPN can only renegotiate the contract with the ACC if there are fewer than 14 teams in the conference (including ND - since they play all sports except football in the ACC).</p><p>So at least 5 schools would have to depart for that to happen. This is part of why ACC chose to add 3 teams last year, provides a larger cushion.</p><p></p><p>Also, keep in mind the B12 has managed to survive despite constant changes in membership. There will have to be a place for programs not in the P2.</p><p>The PAC 12 collasped due to epic mismangement and not realizing the money for TV rights was dwindling - but in the end 10 of the 12 schools found a spot in another "power' conference. </p><p></p><p>I think the story is less "is the ACC going to collapse", I don't see that as a high likelihood because teams find places to end up and even if a handful of programs make it into the P2, there is still a certain amount of content that has to be filled and the P2 will not be able to fill it all.</p><p></p><p>I think the story is more "what will the ACC look like in the 2030's, what will its membership be, what will its media contract be and how doe sthat compare to the P2".</p><p></p><p>We should also remember that at the end of the day it isn't really the media contracts that drive the large difference in revenues between schools in conferences, it is all the ancilliary revenue. Ohio St had $250M in revenue last year, compare that to GT (heck compare it to anyone in the ACC). What drives that difference is not the media contract, it is all the other revenue they are able to generate because they are a much larger school with a much larger alumni/fanbase. That's why the largest schools with the largest fanbases seem to rise to the top so often, they are simply able to generate more revenue.</p><p>Changing conferences doesn't really change that dynamic for most schools.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RamblinRed, post: 998125, member: 1776"] I agree with this. If UNC leaves that is when the ACC dies. If UNC left I would expect UVA to follow them. FWIW, my understanding is that ESPN can only renegotiate the contract with the ACC if there are fewer than 14 teams in the conference (including ND - since they play all sports except football in the ACC). So at least 5 schools would have to depart for that to happen. This is part of why ACC chose to add 3 teams last year, provides a larger cushion. Also, keep in mind the B12 has managed to survive despite constant changes in membership. There will have to be a place for programs not in the P2. The PAC 12 collasped due to epic mismangement and not realizing the money for TV rights was dwindling - but in the end 10 of the 12 schools found a spot in another "power' conference. I think the story is less "is the ACC going to collapse", I don't see that as a high likelihood because teams find places to end up and even if a handful of programs make it into the P2, there is still a certain amount of content that has to be filled and the P2 will not be able to fill it all. I think the story is more "what will the ACC look like in the 2030's, what will its membership be, what will its media contract be and how doe sthat compare to the P2". We should also remember that at the end of the day it isn't really the media contracts that drive the large difference in revenues between schools in conferences, it is all the ancilliary revenue. Ohio St had $250M in revenue last year, compare that to GT (heck compare it to anyone in the ACC). What drives that difference is not the media contract, it is all the other revenue they are able to generate because they are a much larger school with a much larger alumni/fanbase. That's why the largest schools with the largest fanbases seem to rise to the top so often, they are simply able to generate more revenue. Changing conferences doesn't really change that dynamic for most schools. [/QUOTE]
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