Over the last few years, Louisville has been ahead of us. Mack has recruited well. He had a good support structure around him. He’s about 0.500 headed into the meat of the conference schedule. The trend line is bad, though. Guess he’s done for.
| | | Over | | | Conf | | | | | | | | | | | | |
---|
Rk | Season | Conf | W | L | W-L% | W | L | W-L% | SRS | SOS | PTS | PTS | AP Pre | AP High | AP Final | NCAA Tournament | Seed | Coach(es) |
1 | 2021-22 | ACC | 11 | 9 | .550 | 5 | 5 | .500 | 5.67 | 4.87 | 68.5 | 67.7 | | | | | | Chris Mack (11-9) |
2 | 2020-21 | ACC | 13 | 7 | .650 | 8 | 5 | .615 | 10.35 | 8.90 | 68.0 | 66.5 | | 16 | | | | Chris Mack (13-7) |
3 | 2019-20 | ACC | 24 | 7 | .774 | 15 | 5 | .750 | 17.94 | 7.55 | 74.1 | 63.7 | 5 | 1 | 14 | | | Chris Mack (24-7) |
4 | 2018-19 | ACC | 20 | 14 | .588 | 10 | 8 | .556 | 17.28 | 11.04 | 74.6 | 68.4 | | 15 | | Lost First Round | 7 | Chris Mack (20-14) |
[thead]
[/thead]
Provided by
CBB at Sports Reference:
View Original Table
Generated 1/25/2022.
Over at Duke and UNC, they’ve been bringing in high 5* players that would be leaders on the team as freshmen. FSU distributes the playing time among players more than we do, so each year is more of a continuation of the previous year. For us, this is a big change.
Reasons for optimism:
- we have a couple of good transfers coming in, and Smith especially looks promising
- we have one of the better ranked recruiting classes we’ve seen in years
- Meka has had a year to heal up. Howard and Saba have had a year of coaching to grow into the 5 role
- Devoe and Usher are back
Reasons I’m cautious:
- we leaned heavily on 4 players last year, and it really hurt not having Moses in our NCAA game
- our 5th player—Bubba Parham—is out for an extended period, so we’re down 3 of our main 5 from last year
- We didn’t go deep into the bench last year, either in number of players, or in playing time. Kyle Sturdivant was getting about 12 minutes per game. He and Smith are taking over for a player who didn’t really come out. Moore is the player with the most reps of any non-starter, and I haven’t heard a lot of people talking about him taking on a greatly expanded role.
- Part of it was our slow start last season, but after starting with two losses, we relied heavily on our core players through the non-conference schedule last year. Usually, that’s the part of the season where you go deeper in the bench to develop your bench with game experience.
- Maybe other teams lose a lot of “returning production” too, but it took us a while to get the chemistry going last season, and we were starting with players who had played a lot together. I think this is a taller task.
- We have a lot of players that we’re relying on this season that just haven’t had many or any minutes (see chart below). I think that puts a lot of pressure on the coaching staff to get them playing well together for the first game. Pastner even said that he’s going to use a lot of the non-conference slate to experiment with lineups. Howard hardly played, and Saba played even less. Sturdivant had some experience, but last year was more of a “win now” season than a “get our players ready for next year” one. It’d be more of a sure thing if we already knew who could play where
Rk | Player | G | GS | MPV |
---|
1 | Jose Alvarado | 26 | 26 | 965 |
2 | Michael Devoe | 26 | 26 | 909 |
3 | Moses Wright | 25 | 25 | 882 |
4 | Jordan Usher | 26 | 26 | 766 |
5 | Bubba Parham | 25 | 14 | 673 |
6 | Khalid Moore | 25 | 11 | 597 |
7 | Kyle Sturdivant | 26 | 0 | 310 |
8 | Rodney Howard | 19 | 2 | 145 |
9 | Saba Gigiberia | 8 | 0 | 35 |
10 | Jehloni James | 4 | 0 | 10 |
11 | David Didenko | 5 | 0 | 9 |
12 | Tristan Maxwell | 1 | 0 | 8 |
13 | Jordan Meka | 1 | 0 | 8 |
14 | Malachi Rice | 1 | 0 | 2 |
15 | Shaheed Medlock | 2 | 0 | 2 |
16 | Coleman Boyd | 2 | 0 | 2 |
17 | Niko Broadway | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| School Totals | 26 | | 5325 |
Provided by
CBB at Sports Reference:
View Original Table
Generated 11/9/2021.
It wasn't your intention, but thanks for the pre-season reminder. I thought Pastner needed to have a good season to lock in the goodwill from last year. He hasn't. Most of the reasons for optimism haven't panned out. Devoe has been everything you might have expected. Usher has played well but could use some other threat to free him up. Smith has shown potential, but neither he nor Sturdivant have made up for Alvarado's absence. Howard, Saba, and Meka haven't made up for Wright's graduation. Bubba was kind of a 6th man playing 5th man, and he's out for the year. Last year, we had four scorers, and this year we don't have quite that much.
We salvaged last year--more than salvaged it--we had a great season. But we didn't build anything for this season (young players didn't get the reps) and lost a lot of momentum.
Things
could have broken our way this year, but they haven't. We needed at least two players to take big steps up, and could have used 3 or 4 players to have a leap in production. Maybe there were some schematic things that Pastner could have done to take pressure off of the players. At this point, Pastner has to get things on the right track for next year. This year needs another ACC tournament championship to turn it around.