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CFP unanimously approves 5+7 model for new 12-team playoff
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<blockquote data-quote="roadkill" data-source="post: 1001392" data-attributes="member: 1555"><p>To see if the 14-team format with a 2-team ACC “floor” would have helped the ACC in past years, I went back to 2010 (14 seasons) to gather some stats for the ACC and ND. Key findings:</p><p></p><p><em>Multiple great teams</em>?: The ACC <em>never had more than 1 team ranked in the top 10</em> <em>going into the playoffs</em>, except for the 2017 season when Miami was ranked 10th. Confirms my suspicions.</p><p></p><p><em>Better than the upcoming 12-team format?:</em> Just based on ranking and compared to a 12-team playoff, a 14-team playoff would have been additive to the ACC in 5 of the 14 seasons. This is due to the ACC frequently having its second-best team ranked in the low teens. But only in 2 seasons would the ACC have more than 2 teams qualify by ranking alone – the 2015 and 2016 seasons would have seen 3 teams each. And just barely, with ranks 13 and 14. So, yes, 14 is better than 12 for the ACC, but not by a lot.</p><p></p><p><em>Would the 2-team minimum have helped the ACC?:</em> Only the period 2012-2017 (6 seasons) would have seen the ACC get more than 1 team into a 14-team playoff by rank alone. So, a guarantee of 2 would have been <em>additive</em> in 8 of the 14 seasons. That’s significant.</p><p></p><p><em>How does this impact Notre Dame?:</em> ND would have qualified for a 14-team playoff 6 times by ranking - a bit over 40% of the time. Had they been in the ACC, they would have picked up one extra playoff spot in 2019 as the second auto-qualifier. I thought the proposed format might be an inducement for them to join the conference, but history doesn’t offer a compelling reason.</p><p></p><p>Yes, the SEC and B1G would probably each get 4 or more teams into the playoffs every year under the proposed format. But the net of all this is that the 2-team minimum is a good deal for the ACC based on history – I hope they take it.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="roadkill, post: 1001392, member: 1555"] To see if the 14-team format with a 2-team ACC “floor” would have helped the ACC in past years, I went back to 2010 (14 seasons) to gather some stats for the ACC and ND. Key findings: [I]Multiple great teams[/I]?: The ACC [I]never had more than 1 team ranked in the top 10[/I] [I]going into the playoffs[/I], except for the 2017 season when Miami was ranked 10th. Confirms my suspicions. [I]Better than the upcoming 12-team format?:[/I] Just based on ranking and compared to a 12-team playoff, a 14-team playoff would have been additive to the ACC in 5 of the 14 seasons. This is due to the ACC frequently having its second-best team ranked in the low teens. But only in 2 seasons would the ACC have more than 2 teams qualify by ranking alone – the 2015 and 2016 seasons would have seen 3 teams each. And just barely, with ranks 13 and 14. So, yes, 14 is better than 12 for the ACC, but not by a lot. [I]Would the 2-team minimum have helped the ACC?:[/I] Only the period 2012-2017 (6 seasons) would have seen the ACC get more than 1 team into a 14-team playoff by rank alone. So, a guarantee of 2 would have been [I]additive[/I] in 8 of the 14 seasons. That’s significant. [I]How does this impact Notre Dame?:[/I] ND would have qualified for a 14-team playoff 6 times by ranking - a bit over 40% of the time. Had they been in the ACC, they would have picked up one extra playoff spot in 2019 as the second auto-qualifier. I thought the proposed format might be an inducement for them to join the conference, but history doesn’t offer a compelling reason. Yes, the SEC and B1G would probably each get 4 or more teams into the playoffs every year under the proposed format. But the net of all this is that the 2-team minimum is a good deal for the ACC based on history – I hope they take it. [/QUOTE]
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CFP unanimously approves 5+7 model for new 12-team playoff
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