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<blockquote data-quote="ibeattetris" data-source="post: 968100" data-attributes="member: 1175"><p>Colley isn't meant to be predictive, but to explore who has won games against teams with better records.</p><p>Here is another poll called CPI that aims to do the same thing as Colley (but IMO shows its work better): <a href="http://www.cpiratings.com/top25.html" target="_blank">http://www.cpiratings.com/top25.html</a></p><p>JMU 9</p><p>UGA 13</p><p></p><p>UGA and JMU are both undefeated</p><p></p><p>UGA direct opponent wins% 50%</p><p>JMU direct opponent wins% 56.3%</p><p></p><p>UGA opponent opponent win% 61.9%</p><p>JMU opponent opponent win% 63.1%</p><p></p><p>Both UGA's direct SOS and opponent of opponent SOS is currently lower than JMU's, therefore, a poll that insists all teams are equal to start the year would not rank UGA above JMU.</p><p></p><p>You are correct that the poll has a bias. Claiming "all teams start the year equal" is a bias. IMO, polls like this are good because it helps highlight how pre-conceived notions of teams warp how we see them. UGA is, imo, a better team than JMU. They have not, however, had a better season than JMU up to this point.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ibeattetris, post: 968100, member: 1175"] Colley isn't meant to be predictive, but to explore who has won games against teams with better records. Here is another poll called CPI that aims to do the same thing as Colley (but IMO shows its work better): [URL]http://www.cpiratings.com/top25.html[/URL] JMU 9 UGA 13 UGA and JMU are both undefeated UGA direct opponent wins% 50% JMU direct opponent wins% 56.3% UGA opponent opponent win% 61.9% JMU opponent opponent win% 63.1% Both UGA's direct SOS and opponent of opponent SOS is currently lower than JMU's, therefore, a poll that insists all teams are equal to start the year would not rank UGA above JMU. You are correct that the poll has a bias. Claiming "all teams start the year equal" is a bias. IMO, polls like this are good because it helps highlight how pre-conceived notions of teams warp how we see them. UGA is, imo, a better team than JMU. They have not, however, had a better season than JMU up to this point. [/QUOTE]
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