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Bracketology - Let's Do This
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<blockquote data-quote="ESPNjacket" data-source="post: 791055" data-attributes="member: 2775"><p>Regarding the models, the lack of out of conference games among top teams has led to the few games that were played OOC to have far much weight. Since most of those games are in Nov/Dec, the few data points to link the conferences are those early games. It isn't the fault of the model that it isn't given enough data.</p><p></p><p>Seeding was worse than the models because the committee doubled down on those early games by emphasizing out of conference games. Seeding was obviously hard this year for many reasons. They would have done a better job trusting the models more. Kenpom had Big 12 teams like Ok and Ok St with a much lower ranking than their seed, for instance. It had Loyola in the top 10. It had USC higher than Kansas before the tournament. I don't pay as much attention to NET since they don't use margin of victory.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ESPNjacket, post: 791055, member: 2775"] Regarding the models, the lack of out of conference games among top teams has led to the few games that were played OOC to have far much weight. Since most of those games are in Nov/Dec, the few data points to link the conferences are those early games. It isn't the fault of the model that it isn't given enough data. Seeding was worse than the models because the committee doubled down on those early games by emphasizing out of conference games. Seeding was obviously hard this year for many reasons. They would have done a better job trusting the models more. Kenpom had Big 12 teams like Ok and Ok St with a much lower ranking than their seed, for instance. It had Loyola in the top 10. It had USC higher than Kansas before the tournament. I don't pay as much attention to NET since they don't use margin of victory. [/QUOTE]
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