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Bracketology - Let's Do This
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<blockquote data-quote="lv20gt" data-source="post: 787313" data-attributes="member: 2299"><p>One thing I would suggest everyone do is to try and play devil's advocate with the other team and make an honest attempt to justify them being ranked higher. Then do the same for us. That gives you a much better picture of where we should be in relation to other teams, than starting out with the idea we should be higher and then searching out pieces of the picture that support that. Also, you should really try to not use things that the committee won't be looking at like record against top 25, and I'm not even sure they are given who is conference champ (I believe the names are hidden from the sheets they are given).</p><p></p><p>So for Texas Tech, they are 17th in the NE, with all of their other metrics falling between 8 at BPI and 37 at SOR. They have a higher SOS, similar Q1 and Q2 story. They've played more worse teams that have given them a lower average NET rating of opponents in wins, but have avoided the any bad losses which give them a high NET rating in losses. Realistically, Texas Tech is similar to what we would look like without the losses to Mercer and Georgia State. </p><p></p><p>Oklahoma has a similar story as us as well. They had slightly better wins and we had worse losses but played far more "pretty good" teams. 37th in NET and their other metrics are between 30 and 44. It makes sense that they are seeded similar to us, projection wise. </p><p></p><p>That isn't to say the committee won't look at things like recent play, although I believe it was removed as an official criteria a few years back, and how they will look at the losses to mercer and state is anyones guess, but I don't think it's really fair to expect people projecting the seedings to be familiar with all the nuances of the schedules as they update them or have a great feeling on how the committee will handle things where there isn't much prior cases to go on.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="lv20gt, post: 787313, member: 2299"] One thing I would suggest everyone do is to try and play devil's advocate with the other team and make an honest attempt to justify them being ranked higher. Then do the same for us. That gives you a much better picture of where we should be in relation to other teams, than starting out with the idea we should be higher and then searching out pieces of the picture that support that. Also, you should really try to not use things that the committee won't be looking at like record against top 25, and I'm not even sure they are given who is conference champ (I believe the names are hidden from the sheets they are given). So for Texas Tech, they are 17th in the NE, with all of their other metrics falling between 8 at BPI and 37 at SOR. They have a higher SOS, similar Q1 and Q2 story. They've played more worse teams that have given them a lower average NET rating of opponents in wins, but have avoided the any bad losses which give them a high NET rating in losses. Realistically, Texas Tech is similar to what we would look like without the losses to Mercer and Georgia State. Oklahoma has a similar story as us as well. They had slightly better wins and we had worse losses but played far more "pretty good" teams. 37th in NET and their other metrics are between 30 and 44. It makes sense that they are seeded similar to us, projection wise. That isn't to say the committee won't look at things like recent play, although I believe it was removed as an official criteria a few years back, and how they will look at the losses to mercer and state is anyones guess, but I don't think it's really fair to expect people projecting the seedings to be familiar with all the nuances of the schedules as they update them or have a great feeling on how the committee will handle things where there isn't much prior cases to go on. [/QUOTE]
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